NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	6.6 [494]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +20.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	83		Comeback	8.4 [107]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -18.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.12	-0.05	14	53%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	18	72%	0.24	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	10	48%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Steve Kerr	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	14	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.05	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	5	28%	-0.11	1	-0.03	8	37%	-0.07

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	7	70%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Vonteego Cummings	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.03	17	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	17	42%	-0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.04	22	37%	-0.13	4	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.4	28.4	14.7	27.8	1.8	34.3	134.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +59.7%

PHI -3.7%

PHI -0.8%

PHI -2.0%

PHI -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHI	NBA	POR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.6	95.7	91.2	102.3
season	16.0	15.9		105.0	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		98.2	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.4	13.7	18.1	16.2	15.5
PHI	15.6	17.0	15.3	15.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	12	11	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.36	14	-9	23	15.6	15.5	0.07	18.8	15.6	3.26
Damon Stoudamire	85	84	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	0	5	16.4	5.3	11.08	15.9	17.1	-1.29
Dale Davis	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-2	9	16.7	12.2	4.43	16.6	14.1	2.49
Scottie Pippen	59	59	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.44	4	1	3	17.4	12.2	5.16	16.8	14.3	2.49
Rasheed Wallace	79	78	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.34	-4	9	-13	15.5	15.8	-0.29	15.8	17.0	-1.22
Ruben Patterson	43	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	-2	9	12.6	18.1	-5.48	14.7	17.0	-2.32
Chris Dudley	12	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	6	-7	15.2	15.6	-0.31	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Rick Brunson	7	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.09	0	5	-5	5.3	16.4	-11.08	17.1	15.9	1.29
Derek Anderson	38	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	7	-9	14.2	16.5	-2.32	15.3	16.4	-1.14
Bonzi Wells	57	59	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	10	-15	15.4	15.7	-0.22	15.7	16.4	-0.74

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	28	28	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.10	1	-6	7	15.1	16.3	-1.23	14.5	16.0	-1.47
Aaron McKie	28	30	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.09	-1	-4	3	16.4	15.8	0.63	13.1	16.7	-3.59
Matt Harpring	53	52	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-12	19	15.6	16.5	-0.89	16.5	14.2	2.29
Eric Snow	75	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-9	13	15.9	16.2	-0.36	15.6	15.3	0.23
Raja Bell	32	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	0	-5	13.9	17.1	-3.21	13.4	16.8	-3.44
Allen Iverson	91	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	16.0	0.0	15.96	15.5	0.0	15.52
Derrick Coleman	71	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.44	-3	-2	-1	16.3	14.8	1.48	16.4	12.7	3.73
Vonteego Cummings	6	6	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.23	-13	8	-21	23.8	15.4	8.43	17.7	15.4	2.29
Dikembe Mutombo	71	74	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.42	-10	5	-15	16.4	14.3	2.06	16.1	13.1	3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.47,0.28,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.02,0,0	92.5%
BOS 80, MIN 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.15,0	92.4%
DEN 106, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0	91.8%