NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	109		Excitement	6.6 [480]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +48.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	499.0 [1]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -7.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.48	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.19,0.48	-0.01	0.52	0.03	30	48%	0.64	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	0.27	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.27	0.01	0.26	-0.01	12	54%	0.29	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	2	117%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	3	90%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Milt Palacio	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	19	57%	0.02	5	-0.07	20	80%	0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.07,0.32	0.32	-0.02	0.29	-0.05	25	49%	0.35	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.03	10	86%	0.14	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.05	7	50%	0.03	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.10	-0.02	10	57%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	30.3	16.8	27.3	2.4	40.2	144.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.6%

BOS +6.0%

LAL -7.4%

BOS +4.8%

BOS +11.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.9	15.6	112.4	109.1	102.3
season	15.0	15.3		100.9	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		99.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	16.1	14.8	13.0	14.5
LAL	14.0	15.2	15.2	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	35	37	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.52	12	-11	23	13.4	15.2	-1.79	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Eric Williams	57	57	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.52	6	-5	11	13.4	16.1	-2.70	15.1	14.6	0.47
Kenny Anderson	78	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.57	2	-1	3	14.8	13.2	1.69	14.7	15.6	-0.98
Paul Pierce	87	89	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	-2	5	14.0	19.0	-5.00	15.0	13.8	1.19
Antoine Walker	94	95	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-3	7	14.6	12.0	2.60	15.0	11.7	3.25
Milt Palacio	13	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	0	1	13.7	14.6	-0.95	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Erick Strickland	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	5	-9	16.2	14.3	1.98	16.2	14.7	1.57
Walter McCarty	7	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	4	-7	14.7	14.5	0.21	12.9	15.0	-2.17
Tony Battie	37	37	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	8	-15	16.2	13.5	2.66	14.1	15.3	-1.21
Kedrick Brown	40	42	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.05	-5	6	-11	16.1	13.4	2.70	14.6	15.1	-0.47
Vitaly Potapenko	25	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	5	-9	13.7	14.8	-1.13	16.6	14.3	2.37

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	34	34	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.08	7	-8	15	15.2	14.7	0.47	16.4	13.5	2.92
Lindsey Hunter	43	43	0.27	-0.77	1.03	-0.06	11	-12	23	13.7	15.7	-1.99	15.0	14.1	0.91
Mark Madsen	22	21	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.23	-3	2	-5	17.0	14.3	2.74	16.6	13.9	2.62
Mitch Richmond	8	9	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-4	7	16.2	14.7	1.50	18.3	14.1	4.21
Brian Shaw	5	5	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-2	3	19.2	14.6	4.56	13.6	14.6	-0.97
Slava Medvedenko	8	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-1	1	16.7	14.7	2.05	11.9	14.8	-2.88
Shaquille O'Neal	81	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.59	1	-2	3	15.0	14.4	0.59	14.2	15.8	-1.55
Robert Horry	86	86	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.59	0	-1	1	14.2	19.2	-5.02	14.5	14.5	0.07
Kobe Bryant	86	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	4	-9	14.5	17.4	-2.90	14.2	16.6	-2.49
Derek Fisher	57	54	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.42	-12	11	-23	15.5	14.0	1.43	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Rick Fox	65	63	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.55	-8	7	-15	14.7	15.2	-0.47	13.5	16.4	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.91,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 86, DEN 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.98,1,0.98,0.93,0.87,0	92.3%
DEN 106, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.73,0	91.5%
UTA 112, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.77,0.72,0	91.1%