NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	86		Excitement	5.6 [724]		MVP	Charles Hayes (HOU): +22.8%
Denver Nuggets	83		Comeback	321.6 [2]		LVP	Marcus Camby (DEN): -29.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Hayes	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.23	-0.01	0.24	0.00	3	43%	0.25	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.05	19	66%	0.19	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	15	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Luther Head	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	17	42%	0.01	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
David Wesley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.01	15	63%	0.14	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	42%	0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	5	37%	-0.03	5	-0.12	6	33%	-0.05
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.18	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.3	-0.30	-0.10	-0.22	-0.03	14	29%	-0.28	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	30.6	16.0	27.2	2.8	34.8	139.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +41.9%

HOU +10.3%

DEN -15.8%

HOU +18.4%

DEN -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.6	92.5	88.3	104.4
season	16.1	14.4		99.9	103.5
opponent	15.9	16.1		103.5	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.0	16.4	16.7	13.8	15.9
DEN	12.5	16.4	16.8	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	82	83	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-9	21	15.8	16.5	-0.61	14.7	16.4	-1.66
Charles Hayes	49	50	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.52	8	-5	13	15.1	16.8	-1.76	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Juwan Howard	65	66	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.50	4	-1	5	15.7	16.4	-0.69	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Keith Bogans	77	78	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-3	9	15.6	17.5	-1.92	15.6	11.5	4.09
Ryan Bowen	9	9	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	0	3	15.4	16.0	-0.52	18.8	14.5	4.30
Luther Head	50	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	5	-7	15.9	16.0	-0.12	13.4	16.7	-3.33
Rick Brunson	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	6	-9	13.3	16.1	-2.76	15.0	14.9	0.11
Stromile Swift	28	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.09	-1	4	-5	16.4	15.7	0.69	15.4	14.7	0.71
Dikembe Mutombo	44	44	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.10	-5	8	-13	16.8	15.1	1.76	15.8	14.1	1.70
David Wesley	55	55	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.09	-7	10	-17	16.9	14.5	2.39	15.0	14.8	0.17

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	23	21	0.34	-0.84	1.17	-0.13	16	-19	35	12.5	15.7	-3.20	16.4	15.8	0.66
Francisco Elson	40	39	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.02	8	-11	19	14.8	15.0	-0.21	15.1	16.5	-1.35
Carmelo Anthony	55	54	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.00	8	-11	19	14.1	16.1	-1.98	17.2	14.1	3.16
Andre Miller	40	41	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-9	15	15.3	14.6	0.66	15.8	16.0	-0.15
Kenyon Martin	39	39	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.12	3	-6	9	15.6	14.4	1.15	18.6	14.0	4.56
Howard Eisley	54	52	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.45	-9	6	-15	14.6	15.3	-0.66	16.0	15.8	0.15
Marcus Camby	67	66	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.52	-7	4	-11	13.9	17.4	-3.58	15.9	15.9	0.09
Ruben Patterson	52	52	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.38	-12	9	-21	15.6	14.0	1.57	15.7	16.1	-0.37
Reggie Evans	42	42	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.44	-10	7	-17	16.0	14.0	2.04	14.1	17.4	-3.23
DerMarr Johnson	58	59	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.32	-18	15	-33	16.0	13.1	2.89	14.7	18.1	-3.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.98,1,0.98,0.93,0.87,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 109, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.91,0.73,0	92.3%
BOS 101, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0	92.0%
DEN 106, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.73,0	91.9%