NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	79		Excitement	4.8 [849]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +14.2%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.2 [1221]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): -9.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	15	43%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Terry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	14	53%	-0.01	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	6	29%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.01	-0.07	18	33%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	12	54%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.04	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	6	69%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	16	53%	0.06	4	-0.07	4	25%	-0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	14	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	60%	0.01	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	6	58%	-0.06	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.6	30.2	15.6	21.1	2.6	27.2	119.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +23.3%

SAC +0.6%

SAC +9.7%

SAC +13.8%

SAC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAC	NBA	ATL	SAC	NBA
this game	17.2	14.5	15.6	87.8	107.6	102.3
season	15.5	14.2		99.7	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		99.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.7	16.5	15.6	17.9	17.2
SAC	13.4	14.2	17.1	13.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	11	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-22	24	18.7	17.0	1.77	12.4	14.8	-2.40
Mark Strickland	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-18	16	11.8	17.6	-5.73	11.6	14.7	-3.07
Jacque Vaughn	24	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.15	-6	-14	8	16.6	17.4	-0.75	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Dion Glover	12	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.10	-7	-13	6	16.8	17.2	-0.40	14.0	14.6	-0.56
Hanno Mottola	32	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.17	-11	-9	-2	17.3	17.1	0.26	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Toni Kukoc	38	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-16	12	18.4	16.3	2.15	13.9	14.9	-0.94
Nazr Mohammed	36	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	-8	-4	16.3	17.7	-1.41	15.5	13.8	1.70
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-7	-6	17.2	16.8	0.40	14.6	14.0	0.56
DerMarr Johnson	71	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.09	-17	-3	-14	16.7	18.8	-2.04	14.4	15.1	-0.76
Ira Newble	73	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	-6	-8	17.5	15.9	1.60	15.0	12.2	2.80
Jason Terry	69	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	-4	-12	17.4	16.5	0.92	14.5	14.3	0.23

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	32	33	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.10	22	-2	24	14.0	14.8	-0.77	18.8	16.2	2.54
Peja Stojakovic	79	75	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.06	19	1	18	14.5	14.5	-0.04	17.4	16.3	1.09
Hedo Turkoglu	36	37	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	4	12	13.9	14.9	-0.96	18.1	16.5	1.53
Chris Webber	79	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	9	2	14.7	13.5	1.12	17.4	16.1	1.31
Doug Christie	80	78	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	10	0	14.7	13.2	1.44	17.5	15.2	2.32
Lawrence Funderburke	13	14	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	11	-2	13.5	14.7	-1.12	16.1	17.4	-1.31
Scot Pollard	18	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	13	-6	14.4	14.5	-0.07	16.3	17.4	-1.13
Vlade Divac	58	56	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	14	-8	14.9	13.9	1.03	16.8	17.9	-1.09
Mike Bibby	65	63	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	20	-20	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.8	20.3	-4.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 79, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
IND 94, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
GSW 99, DAL 121	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%