NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	3.4 [1078]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +13.8%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	1.9 [1105]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -15.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jahidi White	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.00	0.05	11	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	18	38%	-0.06	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	0.09	20	47%	-0.10	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	14	70%	0.14	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	14	57%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	2	70%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	11	61%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	38%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	23	39%	-0.03	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	24.3	19.6	28.3	3.4	26.5	130.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +40.6%

WAS -3.3%

SAC +9.8%

SAC +4.5%

WAS -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	16.2	12.4	15.6	92.1	109.0	102.3
season	16.5	14.2		102.2	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.7	17.3	14.7	15.3	16.2
SAC	11.6	11.5	12.0	14.7	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etan Thomas	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-28	40	13.5	16.7	-3.24	14.8	12.0	2.86
Courtney Alexander	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-27	38	13.5	16.7	-3.17	14.4	12.1	2.35
Hubert Davis	35	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-17	18	14.6	17.1	-2.53	13.5	11.8	1.70
Christian Laettner	56	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-14	12	15.1	17.6	-2.43	13.3	11.3	2.08
Tyrone Nesby	43	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.29	-14	-2	-12	15.8	16.5	-0.72	12.5	12.3	0.23
Tyronn Lue	33	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.12	-8	-8	0	17.1	15.8	1.24	12.7	12.3	0.43
Brendan Haywood	38	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.20	-12	-4	-8	16.1	16.3	-0.20	12.8	12.2	0.59
Popeye Jones	47	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-4	-8	17.3	15.3	1.92	11.3	13.4	-2.02
Chris Whitney	43	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-4	-8	17.3	15.5	1.79	12.0	12.7	-0.73
Michael Jordan	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.24	-21	5	-26	16.7	15.3	1.42	11.8	13.8	-2.02
Jahidi White	46	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	2	-20	17.5	15.2	2.34	11.2	13.4	-2.16
Richard Hamilton	67	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-11	6	16.4	15.9	0.48	12.1	13.0	-0.91

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	68	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.35	30	-14	44	11.5	14.3	-2.84	16.6	15.3	1.37
Peja Stojakovic	67	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.27	27	-11	38	11.6	14.2	-2.60	16.9	14.9	1.91
Chris Webber	75	78	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.32	26	-10	36	11.8	14.4	-2.60	16.5	15.3	1.25
Doug Christie	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.26	24	-8	32	11.4	14.4	-3.08	16.5	15.7	0.79
Vlade Divac	52	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	3	10	11.7	13.2	-1.50	17.5	14.9	2.66
Scot Pollard	51	51	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.14	10	6	4	13.1	11.7	1.48	15.5	17.0	-1.53
Hedo Turkoglu	45	46	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.29	-9	25	-34	14.0	11.1	2.85	15.5	16.8	-1.34
Gerald Wallace	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	27	-38	14.4	12.1	2.35	13.5	16.7	-3.17
Lawrence Funderburke	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	28	-40	14.8	12.0	2.86	13.5	16.7	-3.24
Mateen Cleaves	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	22	-28	15.0	12.2	2.82	14.4	16.4	-1.93
Bobby Jackson	38	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.32	-12	28	-40	14.5	11.1	3.37	15.8	16.4	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, CLE 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CHI 97, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIN 88, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%