inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 86 Excitement3.3 [1120] MVPWally Szczerbiak (CLE): +8.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 116 Comeback1.7 [654] LVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): -10.4%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brendan Haywood0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.08-0.000.01391%0.091-0.03580%0.00
Darius Songaila0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.08-0.000.053100%0.052-0.036100%0.01
Roger Mason Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.01-0.02650%0.0210.00875%-0.02
Dominic McGuire0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Young-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%-0.0000.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.070.000.08771%0.011-0.02367%-0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02533%-0.021-0.012100%0.01
Caron Butler-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.011340%-0.0400.004100%0.02
Andray Blatche-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.01-0.00845%-0.012-0.03425%-0.03
Antawn Jamison-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.02-0.041332%-0.052-0.0420%-0.03
Gilbert Arenas-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.13-0.01-0.031029%-0.073-0.03475%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.000.01979%0.111-0.031100%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.021164%0.103-0.03367%-0.01
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.030.031955%0.081-0.021759%0.00
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.04868%0.061-0.033100%0.02
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00654%0.0300.001100%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01557%0.021-0.01450%-0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.020.01945%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Billy Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwayne Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01558%0.032-0.052100%0.00
Delonte West0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00530%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.22.832.019.835.23.530.4154.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +41.6%
CLE +4.0%
WAS -1.5%
CLE +3.4%
CLE +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCLENBAWASCLENBA
this game13.218.115.492.5127.5105.7
season16.116.4106.8104.0
opponent15.215.5104.1107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.115.111.713.113.2
CLE16.418.417.620.618.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brendan Haywood33330.08-0.580.66-0.106-364213.812.90.9319.017.71.30
Oleksiy Pecherov770.00-0.500.500.18-6-241811.413.4-1.9316.118.3-2.17
Nick Young1313-0.02-0.480.460.19-7-231612.513.3-0.7917.718.2-0.53
Roger Mason Jr.4443-0.05-0.450.410.25-10-201011.514.8-3.3419.017.41.58
Dominic McGuire1414-0.09-0.410.320.20-10-201011.913.5-1.6017.818.2-0.42
Darius Songaila3333-0.10-0.400.300.14-8-221410.514.7-4.1417.118.7-1.65
DeShawn Stevenson5046-0.22-0.280.050.07-10-201013.612.70.8819.716.53.18
Antonio Daniels4444-0.25-0.250.000.10-12-18614.811.83.0917.418.9-1.46
Andray Blatche4644-0.35-0.15-0.200.30-22-8-1414.312.22.1119.217.12.10
Caron Butler6968-0.40-0.10-0.310.15-19-11-813.512.41.0817.320.6-3.30
Gilbert Arenas4545-0.47-0.03-0.440.18-22-8-1413.113.3-0.2418.018.3-0.33
Antawn Jamison6765-0.630.13-0.760.25-300-3013.712.01.6917.719.2-1.42

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James74750.70-0.200.90-0.3034-43818.118.2-0.0413.611.61.99
Wally Szczerbiak59590.52-0.020.54-0.192461817.120.0-2.8613.213.3-0.12
Daniel Gibson52520.480.020.46-0.192371618.817.21.6413.712.61.08
Joe Smith50510.340.160.19-0.161713418.717.51.1913.113.4-0.35
Anderson Varejao38390.330.170.15-0.322281418.118.2-0.1113.413.10.25
Zydrunas Ilgauskas46470.200.30-0.11-0.181317-418.218.10.0613.812.61.24
Ben Wallace36360.040.46-0.41-0.02228-2617.118.8-1.6613.213.20.01
Damon Jones10110.000.50-0.50-0.06228-2618.618.10.5112.313.3-1.07
Billy Thomas780.000.50-0.50-0.12426-2216.118.3-2.1711.413.4-2.01
Dwayne Jones10110.000.50-0.50-0.06228-2618.618.10.5112.313.3-1.07
Delonte West4648-0.000.50-0.51-0.15525-2017.518.8-1.2613.113.3-0.19
Devin Brown2728-0.110.61-0.71-0.16228-2620.617.13.5411.913.8-1.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 98, PHX 1110.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
LAC 91, MIL 1120.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
WAS 93, SAC 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%