inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 90 Excitement3.7 [1041] MVPErvin Johnson (MIL): +6.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 109 Comeback1.3 [935] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -11.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenny Anderson0.050,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.010.04974%0.061-0.021100%0.00
Mark Blount0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.01545%0.0000.001100%0.00
Joseph Forte0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04520%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.010.032648%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Milt Palacio-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.090.00-0.0830%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.010.03757%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Erick Strickland-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.000.021162%-0.023-0.027100%-0.00
Eric Williams-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.0020%-0.061-0.0420%-0.03
Paul Pierce-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.001643%-0.053-0.065100%0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.00-0.03483%0.071-0.004100%0.02
Sam Cassell0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001757%0.092-0.051100%0.01
Anthony Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.01467%0.0400.00786%0.01
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03283%0.022-0.00250%0.00
Tim Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.011061%0.0210.00367%-0.01
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.03573%0.011-0.0010%-0.00
Mark Pope00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02267%0.002-0.0120%-0.02
Glenn Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.010.021659%0.054-0.0700%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.05-0.011556%0.063-0.114100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.425.115.724.51.729.2122.1
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +42.3%
MIL +6.1%
MIL +5.6%
BOS -3.8%
BOS -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMILNBABOSMILNBA
this game16.214.415.696.8114.7102.3
season15.015.3100.9104.7
opponent16.015.7105.198.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.817.016.715.416.2
MIL14.913.013.316.614.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joseph Forte450.00-0.500.500.12-4-151114.016.3-2.3315.814.41.44
Joe Johnson1616-0.00-0.500.49-0.000-191915.816.3-0.5016.514.02.49
Erick Strickland6060-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-181716.216.20.0713.815.4-1.58
Milt Palacio3132-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-2-171514.916.9-1.9815.114.11.05
Walter McCarty3537-0.08-0.420.35-0.05-1-181714.917.1-2.1914.314.5-0.22
Vitaly Potapenko4243-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-151116.316.20.0715.213.81.38
Eric Williams5354-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.14-5-14915.716.9-1.1414.813.90.89
Mark Blount3737-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.01-10-9-116.915.81.1513.914.7-0.80
Paul Pierce7173-0.46-0.04-0.430.06-18-1-1716.316.10.1213.916.3-2.46
Kenny Anderson4848-0.49-0.01-0.470.07-190-1917.814.53.3214.214.7-0.45
Antoine Walker6870-0.620.12-0.750.28-3112-4316.615.31.2414.414.6-0.28

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sam Cassell69700.60-0.100.70-0.2830-114114.115.3-1.1517.313.14.17
Anthony Mason72720.53-0.030.56-0.2928-93713.916.2-2.3016.415.50.91
Tim Thomas57580.500.000.50-0.1522-32514.114.9-0.7317.314.52.74
Joel Przybilla29300.470.030.440.09136715.613.91.6617.215.71.49
Ray Allen73700.450.050.41-0.041721514.115.6-1.5716.017.0-1.03
Glenn Robinson51500.050.45-0.40-0.01217-1514.614.20.4215.816.7-0.96
Ervin Johnson45410.020.48-0.460.23-726-3314.514.40.0714.717.4-2.67
Mark Pope650.000.50-0.500.03-120-2116.514.32.2111.816.5-4.68
Rafer Alston650.000.50-0.500.03-120-2116.514.32.2111.816.5-4.68
Michael Redd3230-0.060.56-0.620.06-423-2714.914.20.6714.916.8-1.91
Darvin Ham3534-0.070.57-0.640.05-423-2715.014.10.9516.416.10.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 66, CLE 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
SAC 94, UTA 1200.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
ATL 78, MIA 880.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.2%