NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	91		Excitement	7.9 [254]		MVP	Jerome Williams (TOR): +6.1%
Charlotte Hornets	89		Comeback	1.2 [589]		LVP	Keon Clark (TOR): -20.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	73%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Childs	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	28	54%	0.05	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Dell Curry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.02,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	10	38%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	6	44%	-0.09	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	11	71%	0.12	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	5	54%	-0.00	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.11	-0.00	16	49%	-0.10	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	14	47%	-0.10	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	523.8	2.3	27.5	15.8	26.8	1.6	34.6	632.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +18.3%

TOR +3.8%

TOR +8.7%

TOR +12.2%

TOR +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHH	NBA	TOR	CHH	NBA
this game	18.7	16.9	15.6	112.3	109.9	102.3
season	16.2	15.9		100.3	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	21.1	17.2	17.7	19.1	18.7
CHH	17.0	16.2	17.4	16.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	36	34	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-5	12	17.9	19.3	-1.47	16.5	17.1	-0.60
Keon Clark	45	45	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.38	2	0	2	17.8	19.7	-1.88	16.2	17.7	-1.42
Antonio Davis	69	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.55	-6	8	-14	19.6	13.2	6.47	17.3	14.7	2.59
Alvin Williams	59	59	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.55	-7	9	-16	18.3	19.6	-1.31	17.4	15.5	1.95
Vince Carter	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	5	-8	18.8	18.2	0.66	16.0	20.3	-4.33
Jerome Williams	58	57	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	-4	10	18.2	19.9	-1.72	17.2	16.2	1.01
Tracy Murray	11	12	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.00	4	-2	6	19.5	18.6	0.90	18.0	16.7	1.32
Hakeem Olajuwon	39	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	0	2	19.0	18.4	0.67	17.7	16.2	1.52
Chris Childs	25	27	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.11	5	-3	8	19.4	18.3	1.10	16.1	17.3	-1.15

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	11	12	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.04	1	-3	4	15.6	17.1	-1.44	15.9	19.2	-3.24
Bryce Drew	17	16	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	0	-2	13.5	17.8	-4.31	15.7	19.4	-3.65
Lee Nailon	47	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-6	10	17.4	16.1	1.26	19.8	17.2	2.59
George Lynch	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	5	-12	14.5	17.2	-2.70	17.7	18.8	-1.10
Matt Bullard	9	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	6	-14	13.4	17.3	-3.86	15.0	19.1	-4.08
Elden Campbell	46	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-6	10	16.9	16.8	0.08	19.3	17.7	1.64
Stacey Augmon	25	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-3	4	17.1	16.8	0.35	17.8	19.1	-1.23
Jamaal Magloire	38	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	5	-12	16.7	17.0	-0.31	17.2	19.9	-2.74
P.J. Brown	59	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.54	4	-6	10	17.5	15.1	2.45	19.4	16.8	2.65
David Wesley	69	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.51	1	-3	4	17.2	15.2	1.91	19.5	13.9	5.59
Baron Davis	76	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.50	-2	0	-2	17.4	9.2	8.18	18.8	17.0	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.11,0.1,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.4,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.15,0	92.0%
SAS 106, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.46,0.38,0.21,0.22,0.05,0	91.9%
TOR 95, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.04,0	91.7%