NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	6.9 [427]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (TOR): +20.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	1.6 [352]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -34.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.07	0.01	14	79%	0.25	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Alvin Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	6	107%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	4	90%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.04	-0.03	19	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.03
Jerome Moiso	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lonny Baxter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.16	0.01	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.09	-0.19	-0.00	10	38%	-0.26	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.15

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	16	51%	0.07	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.03	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.18,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.34,-0.35	-0.35	-0.26	-0.13	-0.04	32	40%	-0.21	4	-0.13	23	78%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	32.2	18.5	26.6	1.8	38.4	143.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +67.8%

PHI -20.6%

PHI -5.1%

TOR +7.9%

PHI -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	15.7	99.0	91.7	100.5
season	16.8	16.2		94.8	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.7		99.5	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.8	13.9	16.3	14.8	14.7
PHI	15.0	17.4	14.3	14.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	3	1	14.5	15.5	-1.09	14.6	17.9	-3.27
Alvin Williams	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	2	3	14.4	15.5	-1.14	14.3	18.4	-4.14
Jalen Rose	87	87	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-2	11	14.6	15.1	-0.47	15.7	11.9	3.78
Donyell Marshall	82	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	3	1	15.3	10.9	4.48	15.6	13.5	2.05
Chris Bosh	53	53	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	0	7	13.5	16.1	-2.59	15.5	15.0	0.48
Lonny Baxter	25	26	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	2	3	15.9	14.3	1.61	15.1	15.4	-0.27
Michael Curry	26	25	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.10	5	2	3	13.5	15.1	-1.63	16.7	14.8	1.85
Jerome Moiso	28	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.07	-3	10	-13	15.7	14.2	1.50	15.0	15.4	-0.43
Morris Peterson	31	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	8	-9	15.4	14.4	0.99	16.6	14.7	1.92

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	16	19	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-12	17	11.4	16.1	-4.73	15.3	14.5	0.78
Marc Jackson	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-5	3	16.4	14.9	1.47	13.8	15.0	-1.21
Amal McCaskill	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	15.1	15.4	-0.34	14.6	14.7	-0.16
Greg Buckner	11	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	1	-9	20.1	14.7	5.40	11.5	15.1	-3.55
Samuel Dalembert	38	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-3	-1	16.7	14.4	2.31	15.4	14.3	1.17
Aaron McKie	68	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-7	7	15.1	15.9	-0.87	14.3	15.7	-1.44
Eric Snow	75	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	15.5	14.8	0.64	14.9	13.8	1.05
Allen Iverson	91	91	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-4	1	15.0	21.4	-6.42	14.8	12.6	2.20
John Salmons	52	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	2	-11	14.3	16.5	-2.19	15.0	14.3	0.69
Kenny Thomas	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.35	-6	-1	-5	15.7	14.0	1.66	14.8	14.2	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, NOP 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.24,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.01,0.02,0	93.0%
MIN 102, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.36,0.06,0.01,0	92.2%
MEM 94, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.16,0.01,0	92.2%