NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	11.9 [16]		MVP	Bo Outlaw (PHX): +22.9%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	3.3 [301]		LVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): -28.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	27	53%	0.09	5	-0.17	6	100%	0.07
Chauncey Billups	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.15,-0.09,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26,-0.09	0.04	-0.13	0.01	24	53%	0.06	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	9	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	11	45%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29	-0.09	-0.20	0.00	15	54%	-0.16	5	-0.13	11	91%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	-0.03	0.23	-0.03	10	55%	0.31	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	19	65%	0.16	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Crispin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	6	42%	0.16	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.2,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.42,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.03	-0.03	-0.19	0.15	-0.01	28	36%	0.06	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	11	42%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	13	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	1.7	28.2	14.8	25.2	2.3	29.4	1.8	13.6	141.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +86.1%

MIN -6.9%

MIN -31.8%

PHX +1.0%

PHX +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	16.3	15.6	99.0	103.0	102.3
season	15.0	15.1		106.7	101.0
opponent	15.8	16.1		102.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	13.4	14.8	15.2	15.9	23.9	15.4
PHX	14.8	14.6	16.8	18.4	19.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	57	57	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.01	8	-11	19	13.8	17.4	-3.54	15.8	16.8	-1.01
Dean Garrett	17	17	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-8	13	15.4	15.4	0.03	17.3	16.0	1.25
Sam Mitchell	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-5	7	14.1	15.6	-1.44	17.7	16.0	1.69
Felipe Lopez	23	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	5	-13	15.4	15.4	0.01	16.2	16.3	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	87	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-6	9	15.0	18.1	-3.12	16.1	17.0	-0.87
Loren Woods	13	12	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	9	-21	15.6	15.4	0.26	13.2	16.7	-3.42
Joe Smith	44	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-2	1	16.8	14.3	2.58	17.7	15.1	2.62
Wally Szczerbiak	92	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	15.8	11.2	4.57	16.4	15.0	1.38
Anthony Peeler	68	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	3	-9	16.0	14.1	1.92	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Kevin Garnett	90	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	2	-7	15.3	15.8	-0.48	15.8	19.4	-3.59

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Crispin	31	34	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-6	15	16.8	16.0	0.75	17.1	14.5	2.65
John Wallace	4	3	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	0	3	19.0	16.1	2.85	22.3	15.2	7.16
Shawn Marion	96	95	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	4	-5	16.3	15.0	1.31	15.4	15.3	0.06
Jake Voskuhl	64	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-10	23	15.2	18.1	-2.85	14.7	16.5	-1.78
Stephon Marbury	83	84	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.45	-4	7	-11	16.2	16.5	-0.25	15.4	15.2	0.18
Bo Outlaw	82	82	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.50	-9	12	-21	16.7	14.4	2.28	15.5	14.9	0.54
Tony Delk	66	64	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	-3	9	16.6	15.6	1.02	14.9	16.3	-1.44
Anfernee Hardaway	28	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	5	-7	15.3	16.6	-1.30	13.9	16.0	-2.16
Rodney Rogers	46	49	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.16	0	3	-3	16.4	16.1	0.28	16.0	14.8	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.28,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.93,1	90.2%
DET 106, NOP 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.54,0.84,0.42,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.55,0.85,1	89.9%
MIA 111, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	89.0%