NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	5.7 [666]		MVP	Eddie Griffin (HOU): +12.5%
Toronto Raptors	109		Comeback	1.1 [1086]		LVP	Tierre Brown (HOU): -7.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.14,0.06,0.13	0.05	0.07	0.00	8	61%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	21	61%	0.09	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Walt Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Oscar Torres	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	3	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	16	63%	0.03	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	13	65%	0.07	4	-0.10	5	40%	-0.04
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	19	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	11	69%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	17	58%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	8	73%	0.12	2	-0.07	6	67%	0.03
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	26.3	16.4	27.8	2.0	37.6	132.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +13.8%

TOR +15.3%

TOR +0.2%

TOR +17.4%

TOR +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	17.3	14.3	15.6	113.2	119.8	102.3
season	16.8	16.2		100.9	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		100.9	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.2	18.5	19.8	14.5	17.3
TOR	16.3	13.4	14.5	13.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	37	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-7	8	17.6	17.2	0.38	15.9	13.3	2.66
Oscar Torres	34	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-9	12	15.1	18.7	-3.64	12.7	15.3	-2.60
Moochie Norris	76	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.39	5	-11	16	17.0	19.2	-2.23	14.6	12.9	1.65
Tierre Brown	15	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	5	-16	19.2	17.0	2.23	12.9	14.6	-1.65
Kenny Thomas	76	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-10	14	17.9	14.3	3.68	15.3	8.9	6.44
Kelvin Cato	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	3	-12	18.3	15.8	2.46	14.5	14.1	0.41
Eddie Griffin	48	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	15.9	19.0	-3.15	12.8	16.0	-3.21
Cuttino Mobley	83	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-3	0	17.4	17.0	0.37	14.6	10.9	3.76
Terence Morris	30	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	9	-24	18.6	16.7	1.93	12.9	15.0	-2.10

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	64	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-9	24	14.2	14.5	-0.30	17.8	16.2	1.63
Alvin Williams	71	69	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-11	28	14.3	14.4	-0.12	17.6	16.6	0.93
Antonio Davis	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	1	4	14.8	12.8	1.95	18.0	15.3	2.67
Chris Childs	45	46	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	7	-8	13.3	15.3	-2.06	16.1	18.6	-2.45
Vince Carter	78	79	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	11	-16	14.7	11.9	2.78	17.3	17.7	-0.47
Keon Clark	50	50	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	4	-2	13.7	15.1	-1.39	16.8	18.0	-1.24
Hakeem Olajuwon	57	57	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	4	-2	15.0	13.1	1.95	17.8	16.5	1.30
Dell Curry	20	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	11	-16	13.4	14.6	-1.16	16.0	17.8	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, NOH 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
SAS 91, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.91,1	94.6%
NYK 101, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.91,1,1	94.5%