NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	2.9 [1160]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +9.4%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	1.5 [887]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -14.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	14	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	8	50%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.07	3	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.12	0.00	0.14	13	73%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	14	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Horace Grant	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	61%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	3	50%	-0.00	8	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	18	71%	0.14	4	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	16	54%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	0.01	0.11	17	71%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	57%	-0.00	4	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.6	29.2	15.5	21.5	2.5	24.3	117.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +21.5%

BOS +2.5%

BOS +10.5%

BOS +13.3%

BOS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.1	15.6	97.9	117.0	102.3
season	14.6	15.0		104.6	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.8		98.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.0	14.5	16.5	16.2	15.2
BOS	16.1	12.2	17.8	15.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don Reid	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	16.2	15.1	1.11	17.0	14.8	2.16
Jeryl Sasser	14	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-22	28	16.6	15.0	1.69	17.5	14.7	2.72
Jud Buechler	25	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-16	16	16.5	14.7	1.79	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Andrew DeClercq	19	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-12	8	15.2	15.2	0.02	18.6	14.3	4.31
Monty Williams	8	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-8	0	14.7	15.2	-0.49	13.8	15.3	-1.48
Horace Grant	40	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-7	-2	16.5	14.3	2.19	16.7	14.1	2.61
Troy Hudson	47	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-10	4	14.2	16.1	-1.89	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Patrick Ewing	43	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-5	-6	14.1	16.1	-2.00	13.5	16.6	-3.13
Tracy McGrady	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-8	0	15.0	15.6	-0.65	15.5	14.4	1.16
Darrell Armstrong	74	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-2	-12	15.0	16.0	-0.98	14.9	16.0	-1.09
Pat Garrity	58	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-5	-6	15.8	14.2	1.59	14.0	17.0	-3.05
Mike Miller	78	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	3	-22	14.9	16.6	-1.74	15.0	15.4	-0.40

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	75	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.30	30	-14	44	14.4	18.0	-3.61	16.2	10.8	5.44
Kenny Anderson	70	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.16	25	-9	34	14.3	17.4	-3.03	14.4	17.4	-2.98
Erick Strickland	56	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	-1	18	14.0	16.8	-2.81	15.4	14.9	0.52
Antoine Walker	74	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	7	2	15.2	14.7	0.47	14.7	17.0	-2.34
Vitaly Potapenko	37	36	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	8	0	13.5	16.1	-2.60	16.3	14.5	1.82
Eric Williams	55	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	10	-4	15.4	14.7	0.68	15.1	15.3	-0.16
Tony Battie	41	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	12	-8	17.1	13.5	3.60	15.7	14.8	0.99
Joe Johnson	22	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	17	-18	18.1	14.2	3.88	16.4	14.8	1.63
Mark Blount	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	16	-16	14.8	15.2	-0.35	11.0	15.7	-4.69
Milt Palacio	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	22	-28	17.5	14.7	2.72	16.6	15.0	1.69
Walter McCarty	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	17.6	15.0	2.62	11.8	15.4	-3.59
Kedrick Brown	12	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	24	-32	16.7	14.9	1.87	11.2	15.8	-4.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 96, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CLE 82, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
ATL 94, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.96,1	96.5%