inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 94 Excitement3.4 [1149] MVPJeff Ayres (IND): +10.9%
Indiana Pacers 100 Comeback1.4 [1024] LVPJohan Petro (ATL): -7.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Smith0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.010.041062%0.052-0.021250%-0.05
Kyle Korver0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00654%0.031-0.001100%0.00
Mike Scott0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02283%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Shelvin Mack0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,00.04-0.000.04956%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01550%0.001-0.00250%-0.01
John Jenkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,-0.010.04-0.020.04480%0.031-0.042100%0.01
Jeff Teague-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.07-0.00-0.061042%0.013-0.02475%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03650%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Al Horford-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.011542%-0.031-0.001100%0.00
Ivan Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.01560%-0.014-0.0300%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.070,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.01437%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Johan Petro-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.0040%-0.061-0.0210%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Ayres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.01-0.021067%0.121-0.021100%0.00
Orlando Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.00-0.031260%0.121-0.031100%0.00
Roy Hibbert0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.031749%0.071-0.021100%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.050.040.140.000.091073%0.0500.00683%0.01
Sam Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ben Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Paul George0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.100.02-0.071350%0.056-0.0600%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.011152%-0.012-0.0110%-0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.06410%-0.032-0.02250%-0.01
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06-0.06-0.140.00-0.08640%-0.026-0.043100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.51.829.215.523.22.532.4130.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +34.9%
IND +3.1%
IND +12.6%
IND +0.4%
ATL -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLINDNBAATLINDNBA
this game14.016.015.498.9103.1104.1
season15.116.1102.6102.4
opponent15.515.599.0102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.016.712.211.714.0
IND16.716.016.614.916.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeShawn Stevenson2727-0.01-0.490.49-0.4816-223811.714.8-3.1014.916.4-1.52
Mike Scott2727-0.01-0.490.49-0.4816-223811.714.8-3.1014.916.4-1.52
John Jenkins2727-0.01-0.490.49-0.4816-223811.714.8-3.1014.916.4-1.52
Ivan Johnson3738-0.03-0.470.44-0.4414-203412.914.7-1.7915.116.6-1.55
Shelvin Mack4143-0.13-0.370.24-0.4812-183013.014.6-1.6014.617.2-2.63
Kyle Korver4850-0.21-0.290.070.11-115-1613.414.5-1.0516.615.41.20
Anthony Tolliver4548-0.24-0.260.020.02-93-1213.014.8-1.7816.515.60.95
Josh Smith5758-0.24-0.260.010.11-126-1814.013.80.1916.215.70.46
Dahntay Jones2020-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-115-1618.212.85.3716.016.00.04
Jeff Teague5454-0.37-0.13-0.240.16-1812-3014.613.01.6017.214.62.63
Johan Petro2929-0.42-0.08-0.350.13-1913-3218.611.96.6117.115.61.54
Al Horford6364-0.550.05-0.590.16-2418-4215.011.93.0516.515.11.36

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Roy Hibbert71720.52-0.020.540.0516-102616.514.61.9214.711.82.87
D.J. Augustin73710.490.010.490.1113-72015.717.0-1.3014.412.51.89
Orlando Johnson49480.290.210.070.2906-616.815.21.5313.714.2-0.46
Sam Young12100.280.220.07-0.0411-51615.216.1-0.8819.713.36.42
Jeff Ayres43420.280.220.060.2515-416.815.41.4313.614.2-0.65
Paul George87860.220.28-0.060.37-511-1615.817.7-1.8713.221.3-8.15
Tyler Hansbrough54530.220.28-0.060.0751415.416.8-1.4314.213.60.65
Gerald Green48470.210.29-0.070.0460615.216.8-1.5314.213.70.46
Ben Hansbrough24240.010.49-0.490.21-713-2017.015.71.3012.514.4-1.89
Ian Mahinmi2422-0.020.52-0.550.27-1016-2615.616.2-0.5812.114.5-2.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 78, LAL 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
DEN 78, UTA 1160.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
NYK 63, GSW 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%