NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	7.4 [344]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +51.5%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	17.4 [51]		LVP	Mark Jackson (NYK): -12.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.52	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.52	0.14	0.40	0.02	11	87%	0.58	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	2	140%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	71%	0.08	2	-0.04	14	79%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.02	22	49%	0.09	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Michael Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.06	0.00	-0.08	-0.02	18	49%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	15	61%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0	0.00	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	26	46%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	11	41%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	26.4	17.4	27.2	1.5	43.1	141.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +59.7%

DET +23.0%

NYK -37.3%

DET +5.8%

NYK -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.6	111.1	107.8	102.3
season	15.7	15.9		101.9	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.8		103.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.0	18.4	13.8	12.7	15.6
NYK	15.5	16.7	16.9	16.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	32	32	1.22	-0.72	1.94	0.63	20	-17	37	14.0	16.4	-2.37	17.8	15.7	2.07
Chucky Atkins	59	61	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.25	21	-18	39	15.6	15.5	0.01	17.5	14.3	3.20
Zeljko Rebraca	46	48	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.49	5	-2	7	13.4	17.8	-4.38	16.0	16.9	-0.91
Clifford Robinson	74	74	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.46	4	-1	5	15.8	14.6	1.13	16.3	17.2	-0.98
Jerry Stackhouse	83	84	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.42	3	0	3	15.3	19.1	-3.89	16.3	18.3	-2.02
Ben Wallace	46	45	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.09	-5	8	-13	17.7	13.3	4.38	16.9	16.0	0.93
Corliss Williamson	32	31	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.05	-7	10	-17	15.9	15.4	0.50	16.5	16.4	0.01
Damon Jones	31	29	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.16	-18	21	-39	15.5	15.6	-0.01	14.3	17.5	-3.20
Michael Curry	47	46	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.21	-8	11	-19	16.6	14.4	2.18	16.0	16.9	-0.86

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Knight	14	13	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.05	6	-9	15	14.0	16.9	-2.89	16.8	15.4	1.42
Shandon Anderson	17	19	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-4	5	17.8	16.1	1.70	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Othella Harrington	33	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-4	5	16.2	16.6	-0.46	13.9	16.5	-2.56
Howard Eisley	25	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	1	-5	17.8	15.9	1.88	15.5	15.6	-0.08
Mark Jackson	65	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-4	5	15.9	17.8	-1.88	15.6	15.5	0.08
Marcus Camby	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	0	-3	16.6	15.9	0.70	15.6	15.3	0.30
Allan Houston	78	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.45	-1	-2	1	16.4	16.8	-0.45	15.6	15.2	0.47
Latrell Sprewell	85	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.42	-6	3	-9	16.2	20.2	-3.98	15.5	16.2	-0.65
Kurt Thomas	62	64	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.40	-10	7	-17	17.0	15.2	1.73	16.1	14.3	1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.78,0.53,0.42,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 116, MIL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.82,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.28,0.23,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.16,0	90.9%
SAS 109, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.79,0.7,0.52,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	90.7%
MIA 98, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.85,0.7,0.57,0.48,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.03,0.1,0.15,0	90.4%