NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	109		Excitement	4.9 [862]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +21.8%
New Orleans Hornets	95		Comeback	11.1 [105]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (NOH): -15.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.08	0.00	17	61%	0.22	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.08	0.05	11	76%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
George Hill	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.02	10	58%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Gary Neal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.04	0.03	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Ime Udoka	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	14	58%	0.00	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	14	68%	0.16	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	54%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	4	20%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	25.7	16.3	27.6	3.4	29.2	130.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +24.4%

SAS +3.9%

SAS +9.3%

SAS +8.8%

SAS +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NOH	NBA	SAS	NOH	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.5	121.1	105.6	105.7
season	15.5	16.2		109.3	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.2		104.4	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.5	17.5	13.9	18.1	16.4
NOH	13.5	16.0	16.1	17.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	57	57	0.72	-0.23	0.95	0.05	23	-9	32	17.3	14.8	2.52	15.3	16.1	-0.84
Gary Neal	40	38	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.21	15	-1	16	17.7	15.4	2.36	15.5	15.7	-0.15
Richard Jefferson	62	64	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.06	19	-5	24	15.5	18.5	-3.03	16.6	13.0	3.64
Antonio McDyess	35	35	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	7	0	16.9	16.1	0.78	15.4	15.7	-0.36
Manu Ginobili	65	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	0	14	15.0	20.2	-5.19	16.2	13.9	2.28
Ime Udoka	9	7	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	12	-10	15.9	16.5	-0.58	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Tony Parker	61	63	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.16	6	8	-2	15.9	17.5	-1.58	15.8	15.1	0.68
Tim Duncan	53	55	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.25	7	7	0	14.8	18.7	-3.89	16.1	14.7	1.43
DeJuan Blair	15	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	17	-20	14.4	16.8	-2.41	16.6	15.4	1.16
Matt Bonner	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	19	-24	20.4	15.7	4.64	15.5	15.6	-0.15
Chris Quinn	18	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	20	-26	19.6	15.6	4.00	12.6	16.3	-3.63
Tiago Splitter	22	21	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	23	-32	19.7	15.4	4.33	11.7	16.8	-5.12

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	19	20	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-18	22	11.9	16.6	-4.62	19.0	15.7	3.33
Trevor Ariza	64	64	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.07	-1	-13	12	16.0	14.5	1.53	15.5	18.8	-3.32
DJ Mbenga	9	8	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-15	16	12.6	15.9	-3.37	18.5	16.2	2.29
Quincy Pondexter	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	12.5	15.7	-3.16	16.3	16.4	-0.08
Emeka Okafor	64	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-6	-2	16.5	13.2	3.32	15.8	17.9	-2.06
Chris Paul	61	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	-4	-6	16.3	14.1	2.14	16.0	17.2	-1.22
Jarrett Jack	29	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-10	6	14.1	16.3	-2.14	17.2	16.0	1.22
Marcus Thornton	39	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-5	-4	13.7	17.0	-3.26	17.6	15.5	2.13
Willie Green	45	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	1	-16	14.9	16.2	-1.31	17.6	15.2	2.41
Marco Belinelli	56	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	-4	-6	16.7	13.8	2.88	15.5	17.8	-2.23
David West	62	62	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.07	-18	4	-22	16.5	13.7	2.77	16.1	17.2	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.79,0.7,0.52,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0	92.2%
LAL 119, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.88,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	92.2%
PHX 123, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	91.9%