NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	104		Excitement	4.9 [833]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +16.5%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.0 [590]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): -8.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	20	83%	0.32	8	-0.18	6	67%	-0.03
Bryce Drew	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	46%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Robert Traylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	73%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
David Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	18	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	7	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Stacey Augmon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	3	30%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16	0.17	0.16	0.04	0.03	16	74%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	112%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	20	45%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	0.04	13	72%	0.08	8	-0.15	10	80%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.7	29.0	15.6	24.4	2.5	37.6	134.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +18.6%

CHH +7.1%

CHH +34.0%

DET -11.1%

CHH +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	DET	NBA	CHH	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	15.6	15.6	116.9	109.1	102.3
season	15.9	15.7		102.2	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		99.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.4	16.6	18.9	15.9	16.9
DET	16.4	14.7	17.1	14.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	71	69	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-5	18	16.5	18.4	-1.95	15.7	15.6	0.09
Baron Davis	79	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-3	14	16.9	17.0	-0.13	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Elden Campbell	56	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	4	0	18.0	15.0	3.00	16.4	14.5	1.83
Stacey Augmon	55	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	4	0	16.6	17.4	-0.80	14.4	17.4	-3.04
David Wesley	67	68	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	6	-4	16.9	17.0	-0.15	15.0	17.7	-2.72
Bryce Drew	32	31	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	5	-2	17.0	16.8	0.18	17.2	14.8	2.34
Lee Nailon	39	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	4	0	16.2	17.4	-1.17	16.6	14.8	1.76
Jamaal Magloire	23	25	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	9	-10	16.5	17.0	-0.55	16.3	15.4	0.88
Robert Traylor	23	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	8	-8	17.7	16.6	1.03	14.4	16.1	-1.69

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zeljko Rebraca	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-10	12	15.3	15.8	-0.41	18.6	16.3	2.32
Michael Curry	39	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-10	12	16.3	15.1	1.23	17.6	16.3	1.29
Damon Jones	5	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-3	-2	14.2	15.7	-1.53	22.0	16.6	5.42
Dana Barros	6	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.10	-7	-1	-6	19.5	15.4	4.13	13.2	17.2	-3.99
Corliss Williamson	40	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-11	14	14.9	16.2	-1.28	15.9	17.6	-1.67
Chucky Atkins	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.42	4	-12	16	15.4	17.1	-1.65	16.8	17.2	-0.34
Jerry Stackhouse	59	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	15.6	15.8	-0.27	16.5	17.6	-1.09
Clifford Robinson	77	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	15.9	14.0	1.88	16.9	16.7	0.21
Jon Barry	46	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	5	-18	15.1	16.3	-1.17	16.3	17.6	-1.30
Ben Wallace	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.10	-13	5	-18	16.0	14.6	1.36	17.1	16.0	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.18,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.9%
MEM 97, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
MIN 95, CHH 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.08,0	93.7%