NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	78		Excitement	4.3 [956]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +9.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.5 [1098]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -14.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cal Bowdler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.03	12	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Strickland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Dion Glover	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	75%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Emanual Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	6	7%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.16	0.00	0.06	13	77%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damone Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	17	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	10	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	15	45%	-0.06	5	-0.09	12	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	32.4	14.8	26.2	2.5	26.6	126.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +19.5%

PHI +8.7%

PHI +6.6%

PHI +16.2%

ATL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.4	15.0	15.6	85.7	106.5	102.3
season	15.5	15.9		99.7	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		98.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	18.4	18.0	14.7	16.4
PHI	14.4	15.0	17.1	14.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Strickland	6	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-24	28	11.3	16.8	-5.47	14.5	15.1	-0.60
DerMarr Johnson	11	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-24	28	13.6	16.8	-3.19	14.1	15.2	-1.13
Jacque Vaughn	33	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-25	30	13.4	18.2	-4.78	16.4	14.2	2.24
Hanno Mottola	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.30	-16	-4	-12	18.2	15.8	2.35	14.0	15.4	-1.36
Cal Bowdler	47	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-17	14	17.0	15.9	1.07	15.3	14.7	0.56
Nazr Mohammed	44	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.24	-17	-3	-14	15.9	17.0	-1.07	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Toni Kukoc	33	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-16	12	15.7	16.9	-1.21	15.2	14.9	0.29
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	61	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-12	4	16.3	16.8	-0.54	15.5	14.2	1.36
Jason Terry	74	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-3	-14	16.8	14.9	1.91	15.3	14.0	1.27
Dion Glover	64	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.31	-23	3	-26	16.9	15.3	1.57	14.8	15.5	-0.69
Emanual Davis	58	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.33	-25	5	-30	18.2	13.4	4.78	14.2	16.4	-2.24

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	62	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.33	30	-10	40	14.3	16.6	-2.31	17.1	15.1	2.00
Dikembe Mutombo	64	64	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	6	8	15.4	14.3	1.09	17.2	14.5	2.73
Allen Iverson	76	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.17	22	-2	24	15.1	14.6	0.51	16.9	14.3	2.60
Matt Harpring	64	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	7	6	15.5	14.1	1.35	15.6	18.5	-2.94
Derrick Coleman	64	65	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.33	22	-2	24	14.6	16.1	-1.58	16.5	16.3	0.24
Corie Blount	36	37	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.28	16	4	12	15.2	14.9	0.29	16.9	16.1	0.76
Raja Bell	22	20	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	21	-22	15.3	15.0	0.30	18.3	15.9	2.45
Damone Brown	9	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	14.2	15.1	-0.91	11.7	16.8	-5.12
Alvin Jones	11	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	16.0	14.9	1.09	12.0	16.9	-4.93
Tim James	8	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	14.5	15.1	-0.60	11.3	16.8	-5.47
Vonteego Cummings	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	14.2	15.1	-0.91	12.0	16.9	-4.87
Speedy Claxton	35	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.20	6	14	-8	15.6	14.7	0.94	16.7	16.3	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 87, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NOH 86, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NOH 93, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%