NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	91		Excitement	8.3 [195]		MVP	Chris Whitney (WAS): +26.0%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	3.5 [461]		LVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): -36.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.17	0.12	0.03	10	90%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.11	0.00	8	56%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	11	52%	0.10	1	-0.05	3	33%	0.04
Courtney Alexander	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	0.01	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Jahidi White	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Christian Laettner	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	38%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	10	59%	0.06	6	-0.21	2	100%	0.02
Michael Jordan	-0.36	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.36	-0.13	-0.22	0.00	21	40%	-0.18	3	-0.18	6	83%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.15	-0.03	21	56%	0.26	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.01	16	56%	0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.05	0.01	8	78%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	5	58%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	2	50%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	7	25%	-0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.4	29.4	19.5	28.7	2.7	37.9	146.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -6.7%

NYK +13.1%

NYK +23.9%

NYK +18.2%

NYK +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.6	97.8	98.9	102.3
season	16.5	15.9		102.2	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.3		103.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.3	15.1	17.4	14.1	15.5
NYK	13.5	16.8	14.7	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	23	22	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.06	8	-10	18	14.9	15.6	-0.73	17.6	14.6	3.00
Richard Hamilton	52	54	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-4	6	16.4	14.3	2.05	14.6	16.4	-1.80
Chris Whitney	52	51	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.40	14	-16	30	13.7	17.7	-4.02	16.2	14.3	1.91
Popeye Jones	59	59	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.44	10	-12	22	14.2	17.7	-3.49	16.4	13.6	2.82
Jahidi White	33	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	8	-18	17.5	14.3	3.13	13.5	16.3	-2.77
Tyrone Nesby	64	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-3	4	14.4	17.9	-3.49	16.1	13.6	2.54
Courtney Alexander	41	43	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	14	-30	17.7	13.7	4.02	14.3	16.2	-1.91
Michael Jordan	71	71	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.48	-9	7	-16	15.9	14.0	1.86	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Christian Laettner	70	72	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.50	-10	8	-18	15.6	14.9	0.73	14.6	17.6	-3.00

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	74	72	1.07	-0.57	1.65	0.61	16	-14	30	14.4	18.6	-4.20	16.1	13.1	3.00
Latrell Sprewell	75	75	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.43	17	-15	32	14.7	17.8	-3.14	16.3	11.8	4.57
Kurt Thomas	45	46	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.53	9	-7	16	13.4	17.1	-3.77	15.6	15.3	0.29
Allan Houston	76	74	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.55	3	-1	4	15.1	16.4	-1.30	15.3	16.2	-0.87
Othella Harrington	59	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	2	-2	16.7	13.1	3.64	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Felton Spencer	35	35	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	-1	4	14.3	16.0	-1.73	15.9	15.2	0.68
Clar. Weatherspoon	49	47	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.14	-8	10	-18	16.3	14.3	1.97	15.4	15.5	-0.07
Shandon Anderson	37	37	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	-0.09	-16	18	-34	17.1	14.2	2.96	14.0	16.4	-2.38
Charlie Ward	20	21	-0.57	1.07	-1.65	-0.16	-14	16	-30	18.6	14.4	4.20	13.1	16.1	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.26,0.29,0.46,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 90, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	90.5%
DET 68, MEM 72	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.82,1	90.4%
MIL 92, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.73,1	90.2%