NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	110		Excitement	7.4 [328]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): +10.4%
Washington Wizards	113		Comeback	2.9 [236]		LVP	John Amaechi (ORL): -12.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	16	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	5	86%	0.15	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.01
Don Reid	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	80%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dee Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.07	0.07	-0.15	-0.01	31	64%	0.09	6	-0.16	14	64%	-0.10
John Amaechi	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	5	19%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.09

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	19	67%	0.17	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.02	13	76%	0.24	3	-0.14	8	75%	0.01
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.07	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
David Vanterpool	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Courtney Alexander	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	42%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	3	40%	-0.04	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.6	33.4	14.8	25.1	1.8	41.3	147.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +6.1%

WAS +37.6%

WAS +19.0%

ORL -13.4%

WAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.7	15.2	15.5	110.0	114.1	100.9
season	14.6	15.2		101.6	98.6
opponent	15.2	15.8		105.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.5	14.8	12.8	14.8	13.7
WAS	15.8	14.0	16.5	14.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don Reid	33	33	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.13	9	-12	21	13.4	13.9	-0.53	16.7	14.5	2.15
Bo Outlaw	82	80	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-6	9	13.5	14.6	-1.09	15.3	14.9	0.42
John Amaechi	28	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	1	-5	14.7	13.3	1.38	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Monty Williams	17	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	3	-9	15.4	13.4	1.97	15.0	15.3	-0.28
Andrew DeClercq	27	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	9	-21	14.3	13.5	0.79	14.0	15.7	-1.77
Dee Brown	38	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.33	2	-5	7	14.3	13.4	0.88	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Mike Miller	62	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	1	-5	13.0	14.8	-1.77	14.8	15.9	-1.03
Tracy McGrady	93	92	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.38	3	-6	9	13.7	13.9	-0.15	15.1	17.1	-2.06
Troy Hudson	83	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.34	-3	0	-3	13.4	15.4	-1.97	15.6	13.5	2.06
Pat Garrity	37	38	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	0	-3	13.9	13.6	0.27	15.4	15.1	0.26

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	87	89	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.44	1	2	-1	15.3	14.4	0.93	13.8	12.8	1.01
Tyrone Nesby	33	32	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-7	17	15.2	15.3	-0.12	14.2	13.5	0.69
Courtney Alexander	54	55	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.51	-3	6	-9	14.4	16.2	-1.77	13.5	14.0	-0.59
Popeye Jones	43	43	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	-2	7	14.6	15.7	-1.07	14.7	13.0	1.63
David Vanterpool	39	38	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	-4	11	15.3	15.2	0.08	13.1	14.1	-1.08
Christian Laettner	87	89	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	0	3	15.2	15.6	-0.40	13.8	12.9	0.91
Laron Profit	59	60	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.41	-9	12	-21	14.6	16.1	-1.54	13.4	14.1	-0.72
Mike Smith	27	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	-2	7	16.7	14.7	2.07	14.3	13.5	0.84
Jahidi White	31	31	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.05	2	1	1	16.1	14.9	1.21	12.6	14.2	-1.65
Michael Smith	35	35	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	9	-15	16.2	14.7	1.54	13.8	13.7	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 97, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	92.6%
NYK 81, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
SAC 83, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.99,1,1	92.3%