NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	84		Excitement	2.3 [1207]		MVP	Scott Williams (MIL): +11.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	1.0 [1238]		LVP	Fred Hoiberg (CHI): -4.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Guyton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	61%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	5	90%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	13	53%	0.02	4	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	55%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	8	37%	-0.00	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Goodrich	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	32%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	18	67%	0.12	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	7	72%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	5	50%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.12	16	37%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	11	64%	0.03	2	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	30.8	14.7	21.4	1.5	23.2	117.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.5%

MIL +2.9%

MIL +0.6%

MIL +10.5%

MIL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	17.7	14.3	15.5	93.3	116.7	100.9
season	16.4	14.9		95.2	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.1		102.3	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.6	18.7	17.7	18.1	17.7
MIL	13.4	14.7	13.7	15.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalibor Bagaric	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-25	29	15.8	18.1	-2.31	14.5	14.2	0.29
Corey Benjamin	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-18	15	19.7	17.3	2.36	15.6	13.9	1.72
Jake Voskuhl	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.16	-7	-14	7	16.9	17.8	-0.95	14.4	14.2	0.16
Steve Goodrich	31	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-20	19	19.3	16.9	2.41	16.2	13.2	3.05
A.J. Guyton	48	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-15	9	18.0	17.4	0.64	15.0	13.4	1.64
Elton Brand	58	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-11	1	18.5	16.4	2.03	15.0	13.0	2.00
Marcus Fizer	55	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-14	7	17.7	17.8	-0.04	13.8	15.0	-1.22
Fred Hoiberg	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	-6	-9	17.4	18.4	-0.93	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Jamal Crawford	62	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-10	-1	17.2	19.0	-1.87	13.8	15.5	-1.70
Brad Miller	32	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.13	-19	-2	-17	16.5	18.4	-1.98	12.6	15.2	-2.58
Metta World Peace	65	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.30	-30	9	-39	17.7	18.0	-0.30	13.5	15.8	-2.27

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	69	70	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.36	34	-13	47	13.6	16.5	-2.90	17.7	17.9	-0.20
Tim Thomas	46	46	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.21	26	-5	31	13.2	15.4	-2.21	17.0	18.5	-1.57
Scott Williams	71	70	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.31	29	-8	37	13.7	16.3	-2.54	17.6	18.4	-0.84
Ervin Johnson	36	37	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.26	20	1	19	13.4	14.8	-1.44	17.4	18.0	-0.53
Lindsey Hunter	58	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	13	-5	14.5	13.8	0.74	18.2	16.8	1.38
Ray Allen	54	54	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	12	-3	14.4	14.0	0.43	17.7	17.8	-0.06
Jason Caffey	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	17	-13	16.1	13.0	3.05	19.4	16.6	2.82
Rafer Alston	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	25	-29	14.5	14.2	0.29	15.8	18.1	-2.31
Joel Przybilla	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	26	-31	14.5	14.2	0.28	14.6	18.2	-3.54
Darvin Ham	27	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	28	-35	14.7	14.1	0.59	17.3	17.9	-0.59
Mark Pope	26	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.14	-9	30	-39	16.5	13.4	3.10	19.5	17.0	2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 83, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
GSW 96, NJN 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NYK 85, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%