NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	83		Excitement	2.6 [1202]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +8.7%
Sacramento Kings	93		Comeback	1.0 [1276]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -10.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cherokee Parks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	11	36%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.06	8	73%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	12	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	11	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	10	55%	-0.00	5	-0.09	2	0%	-0.00
Andre Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.00	-0.06	12	17%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	7	0%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	20	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	67%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	4	87%	0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	5	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	13	46%	0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	3.3	24.3	16.7	25.6	2.4	30.4	123.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +58.5%

SAC +1.8%

LAC -9.2%

LAC -1.0%

LAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	13.3	15.5	83.8	94.9	101.6
season	15.4	14.0		100.2	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.4		98.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.6	19.3	16.4	12.0	15.9
SAC	11.1	14.1	12.9	15.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	53	51	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.43	14	-24	38	14.8	17.2	-2.42	14.2	12.4	1.77
Marko Jaric	53	51	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.43	14	-24	38	14.8	17.2	-2.42	14.2	12.4	1.77
Tremaine Fowlkes	39	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.53	17	-27	44	13.8	17.3	-3.51	14.3	12.6	1.69
Chris Wilcox	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.30	9	-19	28	13.3	17.9	-4.57	14.2	12.6	1.55
Wang Zhi-zhi	13	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-7	4	16.9	15.8	1.16	11.8	13.5	-1.68
Cherokee Parks	27	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	0	-10	17.8	15.2	2.56	12.7	13.5	-0.88
Melvin Ely	69	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.50	8	-18	26	14.6	18.9	-4.28	13.6	12.5	1.11
Sean Rooks	47	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.29	-24	14	-38	18.8	13.3	5.54	12.8	13.8	-1.04
Lamar Odom	50	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.20	-22	12	-34	17.9	13.9	3.96	12.5	14.1	-1.65
Corey Maggette	46	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.22	-24	14	-38	17.2	14.8	2.42	12.4	14.2	-1.77
Andre Miller	56	57	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.35	-29	19	-48	16.7	14.9	1.83	12.6	14.3	-1.78

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	58	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.34	26	-16	42	12.6	14.3	-1.64	17.0	14.4	2.57
Peja Stojakovic	56	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.34	26	-16	42	12.3	14.6	-2.34	16.7	14.9	1.84
Doug Christie	57	57	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.36	25	-15	40	12.2	14.9	-2.70	16.4	15.3	1.10
Vlade Divac	43	43	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.32	23	-13	36	13.0	13.5	-0.46	17.5	14.7	2.86
Mike Bibby	45	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.24	20	-10	30	12.8	13.8	-0.98	17.3	14.8	2.55
Bobby Jackson	53	54	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.45	-10	20	-30	13.8	12.8	0.98	14.8	17.3	-2.55
Scot Pollard	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	13	-16	13.3	13.3	-0.05	15.7	16.0	-0.38
Jim Jackson	36	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	15	-20	13.5	13.2	0.31	16.6	15.5	1.03
Keon Clark	46	47	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.52	-15	25	-40	14.1	12.6	1.55	14.1	17.5	-3.41
Hedo Turkoglu	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.52	-15	25	-40	14.4	12.6	1.79	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Gerald Wallace	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.65	-22	32	-54	16.8	12.2	4.67	11.9	17.2	-5.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 88, BKN 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CHI 84, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DEN 81, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%