NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	7.8 [252]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +12.1%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	2.9 [588]		LVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): -27.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	15	66%	0.17	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Greg Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Stacey Augmon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Antonio Harvey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	14	46%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	13	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Rasheed Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	13	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27	-0.12	-0.14	0.01	10	37%	-0.19	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.13

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	6	58%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	8	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.02	6	71%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.07
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	15	53%	0.02	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.18	0.07	-0.05	14	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	11	45%	-0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	24	37%	-0.12	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	30.0	18.6	27.6	2.6	36.2	144.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +17.6%

SAC +5.0%

SAC +6.2%

SAC +22.7%

POR -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	15.5	93.7	104.3	100.9
season	15.8	14.4		103.9	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.8		97.8	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.8	17.0	14.8	16.0	16.1
SAC	13.2	15.0	13.4	16.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-9	9	16.4	16.1	0.32	11.1	14.7	-3.64
Antonio Harvey	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-7	5	20.3	15.8	4.50	18.2	14.1	4.08
Detlef Schrempf	20	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-9	9	16.2	16.1	0.11	15.1	14.1	0.96
Greg Anthony	8	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-4	-1	16.1	16.1	0.01	12.7	14.5	-1.77
Damon Stoudamire	75	74	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-13	17	15.7	17.7	-2.01	14.6	13.3	1.34
Dale Davis	60	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-2	-5	16.2	15.9	0.32	13.9	15.1	-1.14
Steven Smith	82	81	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-9	9	16.0	16.6	-0.58	14.4	13.9	0.50
Rod Strickland	20	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	4	-17	17.7	15.7	2.01	13.3	14.6	-1.34
Arvydas Sabonis	51	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	15.4	17.0	-1.60	13.8	15.0	-1.26
Scottie Pippen	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	0	-9	16.0	16.9	-0.94	14.7	11.9	2.82
Rasheed Wallace	61	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.36	-7	-2	-5	16.4	15.6	0.82	14.7	13.6	1.10

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	41	41	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.16	22	-13	35	15.1	13.8	1.37	16.9	15.5	1.34
Vlade Divac	69	69	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	0	9	15.0	12.7	2.28	15.9	16.7	-0.74
Doug Christie	68	67	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-2	13	14.5	13.9	0.64	15.0	18.8	-3.79
Jon Barry	18	18	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.10	11	-2	13	14.0	14.4	-0.43	18.6	15.5	3.01
Chris Webber	77	79	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	4	1	13.8	16.9	-3.16	15.5	19.2	-3.69
Scot Pollard	42	42	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	5	-1	14.4	14.3	0.10	17.6	14.9	2.69
Hedo Turkoglu	35	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	7	-5	14.8	14.1	0.72	18.1	14.9	3.17
Peja Stojakovic	71	72	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	13	-17	14.3	14.4	-0.11	15.4	18.5	-3.12
Jason Williams	49	50	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.12	-15	24	-39	13.3	15.5	-2.18	15.8	16.5	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	92.2%
SAS 67, HOU 73	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.78,0.95,0.99,1	92.0%
DAL 123, WAS 132	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.79,0.94,1,1	91.1%