NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	123		Excitement	8.7 [213]		MVP	Dwight Powell (DAL): +26.5%
Washington Wizards	132		Comeback	2.9 [742]		LVP	Devin Harris (DAL): -7.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.22	0.08	0.03	12	87%	0.26	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Justin Jackson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.04	0.02	10	82%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Salah Mejri	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	15	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luka Doncic	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.02	26	51%	0.02	2	-0.07	9	78%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	5	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.08	0.02	14	67%	0.22	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	11	91%	0.28	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.03	9	84%	0.24	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.04	0.01	19	65%	0.15	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.04
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	12	46%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	0.02	11	48%	0.05	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	25.3	14.5	29.4	2.4	34.3	133.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +51.2%

WAS +1.2%

WAS +16.3%

DAL -22.7%

WAS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	NBA	DAL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.3	14.3	124.2	136.1	109.3
season	14.7	13.8		108.5	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.1		112.4	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	16.3	14.4	15.2	15.0
WAS	15.8	13.7	12.8	15.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salah Mejri	24	25	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-15	21	16.2	14.7	1.49	12.9	14.8	-1.91
Courtney Lee	18	19	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-14	19	14.9	15.1	-0.19	12.3	14.8	-2.58
Dirk Nowitzki	23	22	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.08	0	-9	9	16.8	14.5	2.33	15.5	14.0	1.50
Justin Jackson	49	48	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-8	7	17.0	13.1	3.84	14.6	14.1	0.44
Devin Harris	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-6	3	17.4	13.8	3.66	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Jalen Brunson	75	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-4	-1	14.2	17.6	-3.41	14.9	12.7	2.24
Luka Doncic	77	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.26	-10	1	-11	14.6	16.7	-2.17	13.9	16.0	-2.15
Tim Hardaway Jr.	63	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	0	-9	13.7	17.4	-3.69	14.5	14.1	0.44
Dwight Powell	75	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.19	-15	6	-21	14.7	16.2	-1.49	14.8	12.9	1.91
Dorian Finney-Smith	57	55	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	4	-17	14.5	15.8	-1.29	14.5	14.1	0.35

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	59	61	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.28	17	-8	25	14.3	14.4	-0.18	14.3	16.2	-1.81
Trevor Ariza	70	74	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	0	9	14.4	14.2	0.16	14.5	16.6	-2.14
Bradley Beal	75	78	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	2	5	14.2	14.7	-0.44	14.4	17.2	-2.79
Tomas Satoransky	83	85	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-5	19	14.5	13.2	1.32	15.1	14.7	0.38
Jabari Parker	56	59	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	2	5	14.4	14.2	0.17	15.6	14.1	1.49
Thomas Bryant	34	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.11	2	7	-5	14.0	14.5	-0.48	16.5	14.3	2.16
Sam Dekker	29	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.15	1	8	-7	14.1	14.4	-0.29	16.0	14.7	1.27
Bobby Portis	45	46	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	17	-25	14.6	14.1	0.44	14.2	15.8	-1.62
Troy Brown Jr.	34	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	13	-17	14.2	14.4	-0.25	16.8	14.2	2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.79,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.84,0.92,1,1	92.7%
MIA 98, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.83,1	91.9%
DET 86, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.49,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.95,0.98,1	91.7%