NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	6.2 [539]		MVP	Dion Glover (ATL): +8.9%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	1.4 [1071]		LVP	Hanno Mottola (ATL): -11.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.06	0.04	12	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	13	48%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	65%	0.03	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	21	49%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Hanno Mottola	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	9	44%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	15	57%	0.00	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	21	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	12	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.05	0.03	17	67%	0.06	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	29.2	15.7	26.3	2.5	26.4	123.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -5.5%

HOU +14.2%

HOU +42.2%

ATL -1.9%

HOU +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	HOU	NBA	ATL	HOU	NBA
this game	13.3	16.5	15.5	101.0	113.4	100.9
season	15.4	16.3		96.0	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.7	12.9	13.6	14.2	13.3
HOU	14.0	17.6	16.4	18.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	51	52	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-14	15	10.8	16.1	-5.29	16.7	16.3	0.48
Cal Bowdler	3	4	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-15	17	11.3	13.4	-2.03	16.2	16.5	-0.29
Brevin Knight	46	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-9	5	12.5	14.0	-1.46	16.3	16.7	-0.40
Nazr Mohammed	48	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-8	3	11.4	15.2	-3.81	17.1	16.0	1.12
DerMarr Johnson	39	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-8	3	11.9	14.2	-2.28	15.9	17.0	-1.08
Dion Glover	60	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-7	1	14.1	12.0	2.08	16.9	15.9	1.07
Matt Maloney	56	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-5	-3	14.2	12.0	2.23	17.0	15.9	1.06
Lorenzen Wright	45	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-3	-7	15.5	11.4	4.07	15.9	17.0	-1.09
Hanno Mottola	45	45	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	1	-15	16.1	10.8	5.29	16.3	16.7	-0.48
Jason Terry	87	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	3	-19	13.2	14.6	-1.38	16.4	17.8	-1.46

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	86	84	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.04	20	-7	27	16.0	20.8	-4.84	12.8	16.7	-3.94
Shandon Anderson	60	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-2	17	15.7	17.9	-2.25	13.4	13.1	0.32
Steve Francis	87	87	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	2	9	16.3	18.4	-2.09	13.3	12.9	0.46
Kenny Thomas	73	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-1	15	15.7	19.1	-3.40	12.7	15.1	-2.37
Moochie Norris	39	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	7	-1	18.5	15.2	3.37	14.5	12.5	1.95
Kelvin Cato	30	32	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	7	-1	17.5	16.1	1.36	15.6	12.1	3.48
Hakeem Olajuwon	67	64	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	6	1	16.1	17.5	-1.36	12.1	15.6	-3.48
Matt Bullard	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	14	-15	19.1	15.7	3.40	15.1	12.7	2.37
Dan Langhi	19	19	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.07	-13	26	-39	18.6	16.0	2.55	12.5	13.5	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.77,0.78,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,1	93.0%
GSW 107, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	92.9%
MIN 90, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%