NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	82		Excitement	7.3 [349]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +18.2%
Orlando Magic	84		Comeback	2.4 [734]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -28.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	11	72%	0.18	2	-0.05	14	57%	-0.07
Austin Croshere	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Sam Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	44%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	0.00	10	43%	-0.01	6	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.26	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.26	-0.10	-0.19	-0.03	16	32%	-0.23	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28	-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	18	33%	-0.24	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.15	-0.01	20	57%	0.24	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.04
Mike Miller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.01	16	44%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	3	25%	-0.04	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	32.3	15.8	23.2	2.4	34.3	134.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +44.3%

IND -5.5%

IND -12.2%

ORL +17.7%

ORL +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	17.6	14.6	15.5	93.2	92.3	100.9
season	15.9	14.6		99.3	101.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.5	17.9	20.6	16.3	17.6
ORL	13.9	14.2	12.1	18.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	32	31	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-3	4	18.3	17.2	1.10	14.6	14.6	-0.00
Austin Croshere	42	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-6	10	15.9	19.1	-3.16	15.6	13.8	1.77
Al Harrington	55	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	7	-16	17.9	17.1	0.78	14.0	15.8	-1.88
Travis Best	39	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	5	-12	18.5	16.8	1.68	12.9	16.2	-3.30
Jermaine O'Neal	62	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	0	-2	17.8	17.0	0.88	14.7	14.6	0.04
Derrick McKey	42	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-4	6	17.9	17.3	0.62	16.1	13.3	2.75
Reggie Miller	84	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-3	4	17.3	23.2	-5.94	14.8	11.7	3.03
Jalen Rose	84	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-2	2	17.4	20.7	-3.32	14.6	14.7	-0.11

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	88	84	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	-2	6	14.9	6.0	8.94	18.0	9.5	8.46
Mike Miller	59	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-3	8	13.9	16.0	-2.13	17.1	18.6	-1.41
Bo Outlaw	50	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-3	8	14.1	15.3	-1.13	17.7	17.4	0.38
Michael Doleac	55	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-7	16	15.3	13.6	1.72	19.0	15.3	3.68
Darrell Armstrong	71	70	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	-2	6	15.0	13.3	1.66	18.0	16.1	1.92
Don Reid	14	14	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	4	-6	11.9	15.1	-3.21	14.3	18.2	-3.92
Monty Williams	36	31	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.34	-6	8	-14	14.9	14.5	0.40	17.4	17.7	-0.30
Cory Alexander	19	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	3	-4	13.8	14.9	-1.09	16.1	18.0	-1.92
Pat Garrity	37	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	7	-12	16.3	13.5	2.82	17.9	17.4	0.46
John Amaechi	26	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	5	-8	13.3	15.2	-1.93	15.6	18.3	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.74,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.91,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 98, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.74,1	94.0%
ATL 92, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.73,0.76,0.63,0.94,0.96,1	91.9%
LAC 88, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	91.7%