NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	78		Excitement	5.2 [756]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): +10.5%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	1.4 [547]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -18.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	13	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Lari Ketner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	10	38%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	12	34%	-0.11	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.03
Jalen Rose	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.19	-0.04	-0.05	18	29%	-0.09	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.02	12	79%	0.16	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	20	59%	0.09	3	-0.06	11	73%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	48%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	18	35%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	33.5	15.6	24.4	2.4	31.3	132.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +35.8%

DET +14.0%

IND -15.9%

DET +13.7%

DET +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	15.9	14.8	15.5	82.1	102.2	100.9
season	15.9	14.3		99.3	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.6	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	17.8	15.7	14.4	15.9
DET	14.6	11.5	15.7	17.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Mills	27	24	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-18	19	15.5	16.0	-0.53	15.1	14.7	0.43
Jonathan Bender	5	5	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-18	19	8.8	16.3	-7.46	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Lari Ketner	7	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	-14	11	10.3	16.3	-6.02	17.7	14.5	3.27
Zan Tabak	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	14.2	16.0	-1.76	20.7	14.5	6.26
Sam Perkins	14	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-12	7	18.4	15.4	3.01	15.6	14.6	1.00
Jeff Foster	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-14	11	16.5	15.1	1.33	13.4	16.5	-3.08
Austin Croshere	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-12	7	15.7	16.0	-0.37	13.8	15.7	-1.90
Al Harrington	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-6	-5	16.7	14.8	1.86	15.6	13.6	2.00
Jalen Rose	71	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-5	-7	15.0	18.4	-3.42	16.2	10.7	5.41
Jermaine O'Neal	55	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	-1	-15	16.1	15.6	0.45	14.8	14.6	0.19
Travis Best	59	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.03	-17	0	-17	16.3	15.1	1.21	13.0	17.5	-4.48
Reggie Miller	80	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	-1	-15	15.9	15.9	-0.00	14.7	15.3	-0.68

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	78	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.08	24	-7	31	15.0	13.4	1.63	15.7	16.5	-0.77
Joe Smith	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	-1	19	15.3	13.9	1.36	17.3	13.7	3.58
Jerry Stackhouse	82	85	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	6	5	14.8	14.2	0.66	15.3	20.5	-5.18
Chucky Atkins	66	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	3	11	15.0	14.1	0.92	15.3	17.0	-1.69
Michael Curry	44	43	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	10	-3	15.5	14.1	1.35	15.4	16.2	-0.85
Corliss Williamson	62	64	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	12	-7	14.2	15.8	-1.56	15.3	17.1	-1.83
Mateen Cleaves	28	30	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	14	-11	13.7	15.2	-1.45	16.5	15.6	0.93
Billy Owens	32	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	17	-17	14.4	15.0	-0.54	16.9	15.3	1.54
Mikki Moore	15	16	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	14	-11	12.5	15.2	-2.66	16.8	15.7	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.64,0.7,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.69,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CHI 88, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
PHX 84, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%