NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	82		Excitement	8.2 [174]		MVP	Shammond Williams (SEA): +25.4%
Boston Celtics	85		Comeback	1.9 [587]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -49.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shammond Williams	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.25	0.11	0.14	-0.00	9	91%	0.46	3	-0.21	5	80%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.00	11	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Patrick Ewing	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	61%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	9	15%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Gary Payton	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.33,-0.27	-0.07	-0.17	0.03	21	43%	-0.20	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Vin Baker	-0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.34,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.39,-0.39,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5	-0.27	-0.21	0.02	13	25%	-0.32	6	-0.17	6	33%	-0.08

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.08	-0.01	6	108%	0.25	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.08	0.01	8	72%	0.20	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	16	57%	0.10	1	-0.04	10	50%	-0.03
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.19	-0.10	-0.04	23	46%	-0.00	8	-0.24	8	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	25.2	15.3	30.8	2.7	34.9	137.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.3%

BOS +22.0%

SEA -9.5%

BOS +1.8%

SEA -9.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	BOS	NBA	SEA	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	15.5	86.3	89.5	100.9
season	15.2	15.1		103.8	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.2	15.2	14.1	14.8	14.6
BOS	14.6	16.1	16.5	15.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	65	63	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.20	8	-11	19	14.1	15.6	-1.46	17.0	13.3	3.72
Emanual Davis	43	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	1	-5	14.0	15.0	-1.04	16.0	15.6	0.41
Patrick Ewing	73	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-6	9	14.2	15.8	-1.57	16.3	14.0	2.27
Vin Baker	83	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-5	7	14.8	12.7	2.18	16.5	11.1	5.41
Shammond Williams	56	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-4	5	14.9	14.1	0.75	14.9	16.9	-2.00
Ruben Patterson	32	33	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	9	-21	15.4	14.2	1.22	13.6	16.9	-3.33
Gary Payton	91	91	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	0	-3	14.6	12.7	1.90	16.1	6.7	9.39
Desmond Mason	32	34	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	7	-17	14.8	14.4	0.37	12.6	17.5	-4.87

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Stith	83	82	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-9	21	15.2	19.8	-4.68	14.7	13.7	1.02
Mark Blount	44	45	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-9	21	15.4	16.1	-0.71	15.3	13.9	1.41
Antoine Walker	89	90	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-5	13	16.1	11.2	4.89	14.8	10.6	4.19
Randy Brown	54	54	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.51	1	2	-1	14.7	17.1	-2.42	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Paul Pierce	63	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.53	-6	9	-15	15.2	16.8	-1.61	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Chris Carr	2	3	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	1	1	23.0	15.6	7.41	5.7	14.9	-9.19
Milt Palacio	41	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	1	1	17.1	14.7	2.42	14.7	14.5	0.20
Walter McCarty	1	0	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	5	-7	0.0	15.9	-15.91	0.0	14.6	-14.57
Adrian Griffin	1	1	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.01	-3	6	-9	12.0	15.8	-3.79	3.0	14.7	-11.69
Eric Williams	48	46	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	6	-9	16.4	15.0	1.39	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Vitaly Potapenko	49	48	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.01	-8	11	-19	16.7	14.8	1.87	14.3	14.8	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.36,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 89, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.77,0.99,1	92.7%
MIL 82, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.85,0.98,1	91.0%
CHI 93, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.97,0.98,1	91.0%