NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	83		Excitement	2.2 [1225]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): +13.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	122		Comeback	1.4 [1181]		LVP	Bob Sura (GSW): -9.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	17	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	14	51%	0.03	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	53%	0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Ruben Garces	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul McPherson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	71%	-0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mookie Blaylock	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.20	0.00	-0.15	14	21%	-0.04	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.09	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	8	39%	-0.03	4	-0.06	2	100%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.20	0.00	0.07	14	90%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.16	-0.00	0.11	12	79%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	9	70%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	23.2	17.8	24.2	1.4	26.4	118.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +35.8%

MIN +6.0%

MIN +3.3%

MIN +3.4%

MIN +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	17.1	14.0	15.5	89.2	132.6	100.9
season	15.0	15.0		95.3	102.9
opponent	15.9	14.9		101.7	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.2	18.6	18.7	15.2	17.1
MIN	14.4	17.4	11.3	13.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Garces	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-42	45	10.9	17.6	-6.75	8.1	14.6	-6.46
Adam Keefe	30	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-41	43	13.3	18.9	-5.65	16.3	12.9	3.37
Paul McPherson	26	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-43	47	12.6	18.9	-6.27	16.1	13.2	2.90
Vonteego Cummings	57	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.17	-14	-25	11	16.3	18.3	-2.02	14.9	12.4	2.51
Corie Blount	58	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.21	-16	-23	7	16.1	18.8	-2.69	15.0	12.4	2.62
Adonal Foyle	70	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.70	-33	-6	-27	17.6	15.4	2.21	13.5	15.5	-2.00
Larry Hughes	67	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.90	-43	4	-47	18.4	13.6	4.83	13.5	15.2	-1.77
Antawn Jamison	52	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.65	-35	-4	-31	19.1	14.6	4.54	12.7	15.7	-3.06
Bob Sura	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.58	-33	-6	-27	18.7	14.8	3.92	13.1	15.3	-2.14
Mookie Blaylock	44	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.48	-30	-9	-21	18.4	15.9	2.49	14.0	14.0	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	62	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.81	43	-4	47	13.7	14.6	-0.86	18.5	14.1	4.42
Kevin Garnett	52	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.61	33	6	27	13.5	14.7	-1.20	18.2	15.5	2.73
Wally Szczerbiak	52	53	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.53	30	9	21	14.5	13.4	1.06	18.0	15.9	2.01
Anthony Peeler	49	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.66	34	5	29	12.5	15.8	-3.28	19.0	15.1	3.93
LaPhonso Ellis	35	37	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.39	24	15	9	16.8	12.3	4.44	18.4	16.3	2.08
Chauncey Billups	37	40	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.30	21	18	3	17.2	11.9	5.25	17.7	16.6	1.10
Reggie Slater	45	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.69	30	9	21	11.9	16.0	-4.13	18.7	15.5	3.21
Rasho Nesterovic	33	31	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	39	-39	15.4	13.3	2.14	14.5	18.4	-3.82
Todd Day	21	21	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.26	-7	46	-53	13.4	14.2	-0.77	13.0	18.3	-5.23
Sam Mitchell	31	31	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	38	-37	13.2	14.5	-1.30	14.7	18.3	-3.63
William Avery	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	44	-49	13.7	14.1	-0.48	13.1	18.4	-5.33
Dean Garrett	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	48	-57	13.0	14.3	-1.29	11.3	18.5	-7.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, PHI 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
ATL 85, CLE 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
ATL 102, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%