inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 85 Excitement2.2 [1268] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +9.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers 105 Comeback1.1 [1275] LVPJoe Johnson (ATL): -8.4%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Maurice Evans0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.100.000.061264%0.0400.001100%0.00
Othello Hunter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Acie Law0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05662%0.0000.001100%0.00
Thomas Gardner-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.051152%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Mario West-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01217%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Ronald Murray-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01557%0.003-0.02475%-0.01
Mike Bibby-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.000.04858%0.001-0.023100%0.00
Solomon Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02325%-0.0310.002100%0.01
Josh Smith-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.13-0.00-0.071327%-0.042-0.024100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00644%-0.023-0.04475%-0.01
Joe Johnson-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.140.00-0.061531%-0.063-0.0220%-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.160.000.071467%0.0900.001250%-0.03
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.01981%0.0530.003100%0.00
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.02-0.051058%0.094-0.044100%0.01
Mo Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.011160%0.032-0.02367%0.00
Darnell Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tarence Kinsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03540%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.04967%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00340%-0.0100.004100%-0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.000.02167%0.001-0.024100%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00650%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.13.734.019.830.01.837.0154.3
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +36.5%
CLE +3.2%
CLE +10.5%
ATL -0.4%
CLE +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCLENBAATLCLENBA
this game16.415.615.595.5115.4106.4
season15.816.9106.7110.6
opponent15.216.1101.0106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.918.017.014.216.4
CLE18.215.615.114.015.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Acie Law17190.00-0.500.50-0.3211-314211.317.6-6.3213.116.3-3.16
Thomas Gardner3031-0.00-0.500.49-0.3512-324415.017.1-2.1214.116.4-2.29
Othello Hunter2323-0.07-0.430.36-0.246-263213.417.5-4.0613.016.5-3.43
Mario West1617-0.14-0.360.230.01-5-151012.617.2-4.6110.816.7-5.95
Josh Smith4042-0.18-0.320.140.29-16-4-1217.015.91.0415.515.7-0.19
Solomon Jones4143-0.19-0.310.12-0.345-253015.517.2-1.7016.215.11.10
Mike Bibby5355-0.29-0.21-0.080.24-18-2-1617.215.31.8916.913.63.39
Zaza Pachulia6261-0.35-0.15-0.200.38-255-3017.314.32.9717.012.84.18
Maurice Evans5959-0.36-0.14-0.220.05-14-6-817.514.33.2216.214.61.61
Ronald Murray4949-0.43-0.07-0.360.30-255-3017.614.92.7315.815.40.46
Joe Johnson5556-0.48-0.02-0.470.42-3111-4217.414.92.5115.815.20.61

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mo Williams58580.460.040.42-0.4230-104015.815.30.4717.514.43.10
Delonte West51510.420.080.35-0.2222-22417.013.83.1316.716.10.61
LeBron James55550.330.170.16-0.3423-32616.913.73.1617.115.31.84
Joe Smith39380.270.230.050.04812-414.116.7-2.6316.216.6-0.38
Anderson Varejao51500.250.25-0.00-0.251731416.914.02.9117.215.41.82
Wally Szczerbiak44410.240.26-0.030.21119-1813.917.2-3.3315.916.8-0.93
Zydrunas Ilgauskas47470.230.27-0.05-0.362002017.014.12.9717.215.51.71
Ben Wallace14130.230.27-0.05-0.10119213.915.9-2.0618.716.02.68
Daniel Gibson29290.070.43-0.370.27-727-3414.915.9-0.9914.017.5-3.52
Sasha Pavlovic36340.010.49-0.480.21-727-3414.116.6-2.4715.217.1-1.89
Darnell Jackson26250.000.50-0.500.29-1030-4014.016.2-2.1914.217.3-3.07
Tarence Kinsey54-0.000.50-0.500.23-828-3613.815.7-1.919.016.8-7.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOK 95, LAL 1150.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
TOR 84, BOS 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
CHA 68, UTA 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%