NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	77		Excitement	4.5 [896]		MVP	Raef LaFrentz (DEN): +10.3%
Denver Nuggets	96		Comeback	1.0 [825]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -19.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavor Postell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	15	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	13	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.02	14	30%	-0.11	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.00	-0.01	11	78%	0.13	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	15	69%	0.15	2	-0.07	5	60%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	6	46%	0.02	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	18	41%	-0.02	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.7	26.0	15.8	24.5	1.8	29.2	124.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +49.8%

NYK -7.0%

DEN +5.7%

DEN +2.8%

NYK -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.5	81.9	102.1	100.9
season	16.4	15.2		99.2	101.4
opponent	15.2	16.1		104.1	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	17.0	16.8	14.5	15.6
DEN	14.5	15.7	14.5	15.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavor Postell	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	11.8	15.8	-4.01	13.4	15.1	-1.73
Othella Harrington	20	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-14	9	12.8	16.4	-3.55	15.7	14.9	0.90
Kurt Thomas	50	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.17	2	-21	23	14.0	17.4	-3.45	15.6	14.5	1.11
Charlie Ward	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-13	7	16.6	15.0	1.60	14.1	15.5	-1.40
Glen Rice	49	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-9	-1	14.4	16.8	-2.40	15.9	14.1	1.79
Marcus Camby	47	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-10	1	16.5	14.7	1.87	14.7	15.5	-0.81
Chris Childs	59	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-6	-7	15.0	16.6	-1.60	15.5	14.1	1.40
Allan Houston	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	-5	-9	16.0	14.6	1.36	14.9	15.5	-0.63
Latrell Sprewell	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	-1	-17	16.1	13.9	2.15	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Larry Johnson	64	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	2	-23	17.3	12.0	5.28	14.5	16.2	-1.70

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	73	73	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.11	26	-7	33	14.7	16.4	-1.72	16.6	12.2	4.38
Voshon Lenard	58	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.03	20	-1	21	14.6	15.8	-1.24	16.8	13.7	3.13
Nick Van Exel	77	79	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.15	23	-4	27	15.2	14.5	0.63	15.7	14.9	0.79
Antonio McDyess	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	4	11	15.0	15.1	-0.12	16.1	14.1	2.00
James Posey	64	64	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.12	18	1	17	14.6	16.0	-1.46	16.5	13.7	2.83
George McCloud	44	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	9	1	15.5	14.6	0.95	14.6	16.4	-1.78
Ryan Bowen	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	13.4	15.1	-1.73	11.8	15.8	-4.01
Anthony Goldwire	17	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	23	-27	14.5	15.2	-0.63	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Kevin Willis	43	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	22	-25	15.7	14.5	1.29	13.2	17.7	-4.54
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	17	18	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.13	-11	30	-41	17.6	14.5	3.11	11.9	16.5	-4.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 83, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DET 89, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
WAS 124, LAC 133	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.77,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.8%