NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	89		Excitement	4.0 [969]		MVP	Christian Laettner (ATL): +8.6%
Atlanta Hawks	103		Comeback	1.0 [1141]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): -7.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	4	83%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	17	55%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Otis Thorpe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	73%	0.06	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	59%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Litterial Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	9	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	11	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	18	67%	0.16	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	16	58%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	1	150%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrin Hancock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	9	46%	0.00	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Ivano Newbill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	15	54%	0.04	3	-0.04	9	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	27.0	15.8	30.0	1.6	27.4	127.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +25.7%

ATL +6.3%

ATL +10.2%

ATL +4.1%

ATL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	18.4	15.6	107.2	127.2	104.4
season	17.1	16.4		107.6	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.2		100.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.2	17.4	18.3	15.2	16.8
ATL	16.5	16.0	20.7	20.8	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	9.5	16.9	-7.44	17.0	18.4	-1.42
Litterial Green	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	9.5	16.9	-7.44	17.0	18.4	-1.42
Michael Curry	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-12	10	16.6	16.8	-0.20	12.1	19.0	-6.83
Grant Long	39	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.20	4	-18	22	15.0	18.3	-3.27	21.2	15.9	5.33
Aaron McKie	40	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-11	8	16.2	17.3	-1.03	17.4	19.3	-1.88
Terry Mills	25	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-8	2	17.5	16.4	1.03	17.2	18.9	-1.67
Theo Ratliff	40	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-8	2	18.2	15.4	2.83	18.1	18.6	-0.46
Lindsey Hunter	58	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	1	-16	16.3	17.8	-1.43	18.4	18.4	-0.02
Joe Dumars	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-4	-6	17.5	12.9	4.61	18.8	16.4	2.38
Otis Thorpe	59	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	3	-20	17.1	15.8	1.30	17.4	20.7	-3.36
Grant Hill	74	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.10	-13	-1	-12	16.6	17.7	-1.02	19.1	13.0	6.06

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	76	77	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-1	16	18.9	11.0	7.87	16.6	19.3	-2.77
Mookie Blaylock	77	78	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-2	18	18.2	21.5	-3.28	17.0	13.4	3.57
Christian Laettner	68	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.00	16	-2	18	18.2	19.2	-0.92	17.1	14.8	2.36
Steven Smith	74	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	3	8	19.2	9.9	9.33	16.3	21.5	-5.25
Tyrone Corbin	60	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	0	14	18.7	17.5	1.16	16.6	17.1	-0.51
Darrin Hancock	14	14	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	12	-10	17.1	18.7	-1.59	18.2	16.5	1.75
Jon Barry	17	20	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	15	-16	15.2	19.2	-4.06	17.1	16.7	0.45
Priest Lauderdale	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	12.0	18.5	-6.46	9.5	16.9	-7.44
Henry James	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	17.0	18.4	-1.42	9.5	16.9	-7.44
Ivano Newbill	16	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.11	-5	19	-24	17.7	18.5	-0.79	18.1	16.4	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 81, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NJN 75, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
LAC 91, MEM 106	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%