NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	9.7 [71]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +3.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	104		Comeback	38.8 [20]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -25.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.03	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,0.03	0.08	-0.05	-0.00	32	63%	0.28	5	-0.25	14	86%	0.09
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Todd MacCulloch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Tyrone Hill	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Rodney Buford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	11	43%	-0.02	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	8	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	12	57%	-0.06	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.07	-0.01	14	82%	0.36	7	-0.37	5	100%	0.04
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	11	60%	0.00	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.06
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.11,-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.24	0.00	24	51%	-0.19	1	-0.05	7	57%	-0.04
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	0.00	17	50%	-0.03	6	-0.23	6	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	30.2	15.5	31.2	2.4	39.0	144.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -7.3%

PHI +29.2%

MIL -10.8%

PHI +34.0%

PHI +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	13.3	15.5	105.9	102.0	100.9
season	15.7	14.9		101.4	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		102.3	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.0	12.2	16.6	15.0	15.1
MIL	15.0	14.0	10.7	13.8	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	71	72	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.45	8	-5	13	15.1	15.2	-0.11	13.3	13.3	-0.01
Eric Snow	55	57	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.40	5	-2	7	13.9	16.5	-2.55	14.1	12.3	1.76
Matt Geiger	27	25	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.09	14	-11	25	14.4	15.3	-0.88	13.2	13.3	-0.18
Allen Iverson	91	90	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.42	1	2	-1	15.2	14.3	0.88	13.1	14.8	-1.74
Toni Kukoc	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-8	19	14.5	15.8	-1.25	13.5	13.1	0.41
George Lynch	69	71	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.59	-10	13	-23	16.9	11.2	5.67	12.8	14.4	-1.52
Tyrone Hill	67	70	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	5	-7	16.6	12.1	4.44	13.4	13.2	0.20
Todd MacCulloch	35	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	4	-5	14.7	15.3	-0.57	15.1	12.3	2.76
Jumaine Jones	11	10	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.05	-4	7	-11	10.1	15.7	-5.61	10.4	13.6	-3.21
Rodney Buford	22	21	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	10	-17	12.9	15.7	-2.85	11.4	13.8	-2.41

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Pope	27	27	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.15	10	-13	23	12.3	13.7	-1.41	18.5	13.8	4.68
Sam Cassell	83	83	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.09	0	-3	3	13.1	14.1	-0.93	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Scott Williams	59	58	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-7	11	12.9	13.9	-1.02	16.1	13.8	2.30
Glenn Robinson	85	84	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.54	14	-17	31	12.7	16.5	-3.81	15.3	13.9	1.38
Ervin Johnson	63	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	3	-9	13.7	12.6	1.10	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Jason Caffey	10	9	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	10	-23	17.8	12.8	5.00	11.1	15.5	-4.37
Ray Allen	89	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.58	4	-7	11	12.8	16.6	-3.81	15.6	11.4	4.17
Lindsey Hunter	38	36	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.36	-12	9	-21	14.4	12.6	1.84	13.6	15.9	-2.38
Tim Thomas	56	54	-0.98	0.48	-1.46	-0.51	-16	13	-29	14.2	12.2	1.96	13.5	16.9	-3.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.96,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 90, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.68,0.74,0	90.8%
NOH 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.72,0	89.9%
CHA 93, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.69,0.54,0.53,0.39,0.63,0.68,0.72,0	89.7%