NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	109		Excitement	5.7 [661]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +13.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	112		Comeback	1.1 [814]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -17.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	83%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.07
Peja Stojakovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	0.08	-0.07	0.04	16	68%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	0.03	-0.05	0.07	26	63%	0.05	6	-0.14	10	100%	0.04
Vlade Divac	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	8	40%	-0.05	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.03	-0.03	20	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	16	72%	0.21	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.04
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.02	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	4	70%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.2,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-0.00	-0.02	18	39%	0.03	7	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.8	29.2	20.4	27.8	2.7	44.0	152.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +61.0%

SAC -11.4%

MIL +7.2%

SAC -2.6%

SAC -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIL	NBA	SAC	MIL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	15.5	105.8	109.8	100.9
season	14.4	14.9		103.1	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		102.3	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	15.2	15.4	11.5	14.0
MIL	12.0	13.6	13.4	18.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	36	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-4	5	14.5	13.7	0.80	15.6	13.4	2.22
Hedo Turkoglu	27	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-6	9	13.5	14.1	-0.59	14.3	14.1	0.25
Lawrence Funderburke	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	3	-9	16.5	13.7	2.82	16.8	13.9	2.94
Scot Pollard	52	50	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-8	13	13.7	14.2	-0.56	16.5	11.8	4.69
Bobby Jackson	44	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-7	11	13.0	14.6	-1.58	16.9	12.2	4.73
Jason Williams	59	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	4	-11	14.6	13.0	1.58	12.2	16.9	-4.73
Vlade Divac	46	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	9	-21	15.2	13.0	2.17	13.0	15.1	-2.17
Chris Webber	93	92	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-6	9	13.7	16.5	-2.82	13.9	16.8	-2.94
Peja Stojakovic	81	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-1	-1	13.6	15.3	-1.68	13.3	17.3	-4.04
Doug Christie	67	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	1	-5	13.7	14.5	-0.80	13.4	15.6	-2.22

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	76	77	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.11	22	-19	41	14.6	12.8	1.85	14.7	11.7	2.97
Sam Cassell	85	85	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-13	29	14.0	14.6	-0.60	14.3	12.1	2.23
Ervin Johnson	47	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	3	-3	16.1	12.4	3.71	14.0	13.9	0.01
Tim Thomas	39	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	0	3	15.9	13.1	2.79	14.5	13.6	0.94
Ray Allen	85	86	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.40	-8	11	-19	13.3	18.4	-5.05	13.3	17.4	-4.07
Lindsey Hunter	39	40	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.29	-6	9	-15	14.5	13.9	0.63	13.5	14.2	-0.66
Mark Pope	54	56	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	0	3	12.3	16.2	-3.85	14.6	13.2	1.36
Glenn Robinson	85	85	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.50	-15	18	-33	13.7	16.2	-2.44	13.1	18.1	-5.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 96, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	94.7%
ORL 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.81,0.8,0.91,0.97,0.9,0.9,0.94,1,1	94.5%
NOP 84, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	94.3%