NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	79		Excitement	3.0 [1145]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +10.3%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	1.1 [1240]		LVP	Chris Mullin (GSW): -9.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Garces	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	21	43%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul McPherson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	10	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	11	41%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	54%	0.00	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	14	53%	0.01	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.27	-0.01	-0.18	10	10%	-0.09	1	-0.01	10	30%	-0.04
Chris Mullin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	7%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.01	23	57%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	8	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	52%	0.02	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	6	29%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.5	25.3	15.8	22.3	2.3	28.6	117.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +46.9%

GSW -1.3%

GSW -2.0%

SAC +7.6%

GSW -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	15.5	80.6	107.1	100.9
season	15.0	14.4		95.3	103.1
opponent	15.5	14.9		97.8	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.4	17.0	14.0	15.7	14.6
SAC	12.8	16.5	14.8	15.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Garces	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-35	44	12.6	14.9	-2.25	18.0	14.3	3.71
Adam Keefe	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.16	-6	-20	14	15.1	14.4	0.69	15.9	14.4	1.53
Paul McPherson	28	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-22	18	16.7	13.7	3.05	16.0	14.3	1.68
Vonteego Cummings	33	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-21	16	15.2	14.2	1.01	16.4	13.9	2.51
Corie Blount	44	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.23	-13	-13	0	15.4	13.9	1.56	15.8	14.0	1.82
Chris Mullin	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.40	-20	-6	-14	16.1	13.7	2.39	15.6	14.4	1.26
Adonal Foyle	54	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-13	0	13.9	15.4	-1.56	14.0	15.8	-1.82
Larry Hughes	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.20	-19	-7	-12	13.4	17.1	-3.69	14.1	16.4	-2.30
Bob Sura	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.14	-18	-8	-10	14.3	14.8	-0.47	13.6	16.0	-2.40
Mookie Blaylock	65	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.21	-21	-5	-16	14.2	15.2	-1.01	13.9	16.4	-2.51
Antawn Jamison	71	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	-6	-14	14.4	15.1	-0.69	14.4	15.9	-1.53

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	71	72	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.39	27	-1	28	13.6	18.0	-4.34	14.0	16.2	-2.15
Peja Stojakovic	70	70	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.38	25	1	24	13.7	17.7	-4.06	13.7	16.7	-3.05
Doug Christie	66	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.36	24	2	22	13.4	17.8	-4.45	13.9	16.1	-2.23
Jason Williams	60	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	12	2	13.8	16.4	-2.58	13.2	16.8	-3.51
Scot Pollard	36	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.49	27	-1	28	15.5	14.4	1.08	16.9	13.3	3.60
Vlade Divac	48	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	18	-10	13.4	16.2	-2.82	13.5	15.7	-2.20
Bobby Jackson	24	23	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.44	21	5	16	15.5	14.6	0.85	19.3	13.1	6.13
Jon Barry	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	24	-22	17.8	13.4	4.45	16.1	13.9	2.23
Hedo Turkoglu	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	25	-24	17.7	13.7	4.06	16.7	13.7	3.05
Lawrence Funderburke	27	26	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	27	-28	18.0	13.6	4.34	16.2	14.0	2.15
Nick Anderson	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	35	-44	18.0	14.3	3.71	12.6	14.9	-2.25
Darrick Martin	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	35	-44	18.0	14.3	3.71	12.6	14.9	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 77, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
GSW 125, NYK 138	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	97.2%
TOR 89, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%