NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	125		Excitement	3.9 [1030]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): +8.4%
New York Knicks	138		Comeback	1.2 [689]		LVP	Andris Biedrins (GSW): -6.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelenna Azubuike	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.00	0.07	17	61%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	20	64%	0.05	5	-0.07	10	80%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.04	20	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Andris Biedrins	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	16	43%	-0.00	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	10	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	29	56%	0.12	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	9	80%	0.13	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	9	55%	0.07	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.17	-0.01	0.13	25	65%	0.09	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	31.4	17.3	24.5	2.3	27.7	128.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.8%

GSW -3.9%

NYK +12.5%

GSW -9.3%

NYK +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	12.0	13.5	15.5	111.6	121.1	106.4
season	13.8	13.8		107.3	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.1	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.6	12.0	12.7	10.4	12.0
NYK	11.4	13.2	13.4	16.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	12	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-11	9	12.7	11.9	0.77	17.7	13.0	4.76
Ronny Turiaf	23	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.27	8	-21	29	10.5	12.4	-1.84	14.4	13.2	1.11
Anthony Randolph	29	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-15	17	12.0	12.0	0.02	13.2	13.6	-0.32
Marco Belinelli	18	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-7	1	12.7	11.8	0.88	13.1	13.6	-0.45
Anthony Morrow	44	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-14	15	11.7	12.2	-0.53	13.4	13.5	-0.13
CJ Watson	83	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-9	5	11.8	12.6	-0.77	13.8	12.6	1.25
Andris Biedrins	71	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.11	-17	4	-21	12.5	11.1	1.43	12.6	15.0	-2.39
Corey Maggette	97	99	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-4	-5	11.9	12.4	-0.48	13.6	12.9	0.64
Jamal Crawford	99	102	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	0	-13	12.0	12.0	-0.02	13.0	17.9	-4.95
Kelenna Azubuike	84	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.22	-25	12	-37	12.1	11.6	0.55	13.8	12.6	1.23

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	106	104	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	1	11	13.8	8.7	5.10	12.1	10.1	2.00
Quentin Richardson	83	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-4	21	13.5	13.5	-0.03	12.6	10.5	2.07
Al Harrington	98	95	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	5	3	13.4	14.2	-0.88	11.6	14.1	-2.52
David Lee	94	92	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.10	10	3	7	12.8	16.6	-3.83	12.0	11.8	0.16
Tim Thomas	80	76	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	5	3	14.1	12.1	1.92	11.8	12.3	-0.52
Anthony Roberson	57	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	8	-3	13.3	13.7	-0.39	11.9	12.0	-0.11
Wilson Chandler	52	54	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	8	-3	13.6	13.4	0.12	11.8	12.2	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 79, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIA 74, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIL 106, TOR 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%