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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 88 Excitement8.6 [136] MVPTrajan Langdon (CLE): +17.4%
Denver Nuggets 91 Comeback4.3 [403] LVPLamond Murray (CLE): -23.9%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trajan Langdon0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.080.090.003100%0.1700.004100%0.03
Andre Miller0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.010.08-0.001359%0.223-0.143100%0.02
Anthony Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.030.001036%-0.0100.002100%0.02
Cedric Henderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.01-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.03-0.011136%-0.0200.003100%0.02
Jim Jackson-0.160,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16-0.10-0.07-0.001540%-0.122-0.04580%0.02
Robert Traylor-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.12-0.060.00619%-0.151-0.02425%-0.05
Chris Gatling-0.200,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2-0.10-0.10-0.001136%-0.181-0.02667%-0.03
Lamond Murray-0.240,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24-0.07-0.160.001739%-0.221-0.02425%-0.06

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio McDyess0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.08,0,0.12,0.120.12-0.040.16-0.001845%0.1200.00850%-0.05
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.070.07-0.020.09-0.011456%0.163-0.09667%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.02470%0.031-0.00250%-0.02
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.030.001062%0.0200.00450%-0.03
Ryan Bowen00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.04-0.04-0.050.01-0.00743%0.042-0.0700%0.00
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00250%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.05-0.00964%0.073-0.124100%0.08
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00225%-0.0700.00450%-0.04
Voshon Lenard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.040.01930%-0.102-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.81.829.215.425.52.532.9130.1
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +56.7%
DEN +0.8%
DEN +6.4%
CLE -8.4%
CLE -5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDENNBACLEDENNBA
this game15.314.715.591.794.8100.9
season15.315.298.4101.4
opponent15.215.6104.1102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.213.714.816.715.3
DEN13.317.014.614.014.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Johnson30290.37-0.871.240.0212-152715.415.30.0814.614.7-0.10
Trajan Langdon38380.01-0.510.52-0.052-5714.915.6-0.6915.214.30.91
Cedric Henderson3837-0.07-0.420.350.10-63-914.016.2-2.2215.214.40.86
Chris Gatling6866-0.13-0.370.23-0.285-81315.115.7-0.5715.014.10.85
Robert Traylor5453-0.15-0.350.200.03-63-914.716.1-1.3914.814.50.28
Lamond Murray5859-0.500.00-0.51-0.531-4516.214.02.2214.415.2-0.86
Jim Jackson5858-0.510.01-0.52-0.36-52-715.614.90.6914.315.2-0.91
Clar. Weatherspoon7073-0.640.14-0.78-0.55-30-315.913.62.3314.415.7-1.38
Andre Miller6667-0.870.37-1.24-0.43-1512-2715.315.4-0.0814.714.60.10

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey61600.79-0.291.080.4412-92114.215.5-1.2115.514.90.59
Nick Van Exel79790.75-0.251.000.499-61514.316.4-2.1015.713.71.95
Antonio McDyess84850.74-0.240.990.518-51314.118.5-4.3615.811.34.56
George McCloud54530.410.090.320.47-25-715.014.30.6316.114.31.83
Raef LaFrentz64650.360.140.210.3312-114.415.3-0.8915.814.41.41
Ryan Bowen100.080.42-0.340.0803-30.014.8-14.840.015.3-15.31
Tariq Abdul-Wahad18200.020.48-0.46-0.0421114.714.70.0414.315.6-1.28
Mark Strickland33-0.070.57-0.640.05-47-1124.014.49.6111.715.4-3.76
Kevin Willis4039-0.110.61-0.72-0.1412-116.013.82.2113.716.4-2.73
Voshon Lenard5959-0.220.72-0.95-0.05-69-1514.914.40.5014.716.3-1.60
Robert Pack1717-0.250.75-1.00-0.07-69-1516.414.32.1013.715.7-1.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.36,0.45,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 115, ATL 1180.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.21,0.32,0.83,192.0%
DEN 89, LAL 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.43,0.84,191.8%
MIA 72, CHI 780.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.3,0.35,0.47,0.31,0.46,0.44,0.91,191.7%