NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	89		Excitement	6.9 [419]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (MIN): +21.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	4.6 [483]		LVP	Rasho Nesterovic (MIN): -12.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.04	15	60%	0.09	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	8	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	11	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	4	40%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.07

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.17	-0.01	10	59%	0.26	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.08	-0.03	14	48%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	4	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.10	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	13	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	15	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	4	10%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.7	27.2	15.7	25.4	2.3	36.6	130.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +64.2%

LAC -13.2%

MIN +2.1%

MIN +1.7%

LAC -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	18.4	14.5	15.5	102.3	108.0	100.9
season	16.1	15.0		99.5	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.5		101.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.7	16.8	19.4	19.9	18.4
MIN	13.0	18.4	12.5	14.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	32	30	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-14	22	17.7	18.9	-1.17	17.3	13.1	4.18
Earl Boykins	27	27	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-11	16	16.4	19.3	-2.87	15.9	13.9	1.93
Sean Rooks	23	23	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-11	16	17.6	18.7	-1.11	21.1	12.2	8.90
Lamar Odom	67	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-11	16	18.0	19.9	-1.98	13.9	16.5	-2.57
Cherokee Parks	35	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-6	6	16.8	19.5	-2.72	16.5	13.1	3.37
Quentin Richardson	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	5	-16	19.6	17.4	2.24	13.1	15.8	-2.66
Michael Olowokandi	57	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	3	-12	19.6	16.3	3.29	12.7	17.6	-4.84
Darius Miles	54	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	1	-8	19.5	16.6	2.88	13.1	16.7	-3.53
Jeff McInnis	65	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	6	-18	18.5	18.2	0.33	13.2	18.8	-5.61
Eric Piatkowski	34	36	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.33	-14	8	-22	18.6	18.3	0.27	14.9	14.2	0.73

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	23	26	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.09	21	-15	36	14.6	14.5	0.07	20.3	17.6	2.68
Wally Szczerbiak	72	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-7	20	12.9	21.6	-8.62	18.4	18.4	0.09
Terrell Brandon	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-4	14	13.4	20.1	-6.70	18.1	20.2	-2.13
LaPhonso Ellis	33	31	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.35	2	4	-2	15.8	13.7	2.09	18.8	18.2	0.64
Chauncey Billups	41	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.39	-4	10	-14	16.8	12.5	4.29	18.0	18.7	-0.72
Anthony Peeler	61	62	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	0	6	14.3	15.1	-0.81	19.1	16.8	2.28
Kevin Garnett	75	73	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	9	-12	13.6	19.8	-6.26	17.9	21.2	-3.32
Dean Garrett	21	20	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	10	-14	16.5	13.9	2.64	16.4	19.0	-2.63
Sam Mitchell	16	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	13	-20	21.6	12.9	8.62	18.4	18.4	-0.09
Rasho Nesterovic	24	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	10	-14	13.8	14.8	-0.99	19.2	18.1	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.58,0.74,0.73,0.88,0.96,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.8%
ORL 79, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.95,1	92.4%
SAS 88, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.84,0.85,1	92.4%