NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	4.6 [872]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +15.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	1.2 [964]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (SEA): -17.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.03	-0.04	6	75%	0.11	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	79%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	7	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	16	53%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Ruben Wolkowyski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	12	61%	0.01	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Patrick Ewing	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	39%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	14	28%	-0.11	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	4	33%	-0.09	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.01	10	85%	0.16	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	15	65%	0.12	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	15	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	65%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	16	34%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	27.4	15.4	23.2	1.8	31.0	123.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +29.4%

SEA -2.5%

MIN +2.7%

MIN +18.6%

MIN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	NBA	SEA	MIN	NBA
this game	14.3	15.3	15.5	93.9	108.2	100.9
season	15.2	15.0		103.8	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.7		101.7	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.0	12.9	16.5	13.7	14.3
MIN	14.8	15.4	14.0	16.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	46	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-11	9	13.4	15.0	-1.63	16.0	14.7	1.29
Desmond Mason	31	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-11	9	13.0	14.9	-1.88	16.6	14.7	1.90
Jelani McCoy	24	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-9	5	15.1	14.0	1.15	14.5	15.6	-1.09
Emanual Davis	23	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-8	3	11.2	15.2	-3.97	17.1	14.7	2.41
Ruben Wolkowyski	4	4	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-4	-5	14.7	14.2	0.52	9.2	15.5	-6.30
Rashard Lewis	67	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-12	11	14.8	13.0	1.84	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Patrick Ewing	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-6	-1	15.5	13.2	2.24	14.2	16.2	-1.99
Ruben Patterson	39	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-4	-5	13.7	14.6	-0.93	16.1	14.8	1.32
Vin Baker	67	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-6	-1	13.8	15.3	-1.56	15.7	14.4	1.27
Gary Payton	86	85	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-8	3	14.7	11.0	3.71	15.3	14.9	0.42
Brent Barry	58	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	1	-15	15.1	13.0	2.08	14.2	17.1	-2.90

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	77	78	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.00	18	-5	23	14.9	16.7	-1.84	14.5	13.3	1.20
Terrell Brandon	84	87	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	0	13	14.4	20.8	-6.33	14.7	11.1	3.56
Anthony Peeler	79	80	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	1	11	15.0	16.6	-1.62	14.3	13.8	0.52
Kevin Garnett	72	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	3	7	14.7	17.0	-2.36	14.6	13.1	1.50
LaPhonso Ellis	54	55	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	5	3	15.8	14.7	1.15	13.5	15.3	-1.82
Rasho Nesterovic	38	37	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.09	13	0	13	14.1	16.1	-1.95	16.1	13.2	2.89
Chauncey Billups	39	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	15	-17	18.3	13.2	5.09	12.5	15.3	-2.84
Reggie Slater	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	17.6	14.7	2.91	13.2	14.5	-1.33
Sam Jacobson	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	23.0	15.2	7.79	0.0	14.3	-14.26
Sam Mitchell	11	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	15	-17	15.1	15.3	-0.22	14.6	14.2	0.37
Dean Garrett	10	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	16	-19	16.8	15.1	1.69	11.4	14.6	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 88, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
UTA 92, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.1%
NYK 73, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%