NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	88		Excitement	3.9 [1056]		MVP	Courtney Lee (BOS): +10.0%
Boston Celtics	105		Comeback	1.1 [942]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHA): -11.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	12	64%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	53%	0.00	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.06
Jeff Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	52%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	11	36%	-0.06	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.01	7	86%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.08	6	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	74%	0.12	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	55%	0.03	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	46%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	32%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	29.9	15.8	28.4	2.5	28.6	129.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.6%

BOS +13.0%

BOS +8.4%

CHA -5.7%

CHA -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	17.0	15.2	15.4	100.0	115.4	104.1
season	15.6	14.9		99.9	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.4		101.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.4	18.1	18.8	14.0	17.0
BOS	15.3	14.8	13.3	17.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	40	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-20	23	14.4	19.2	-4.85	16.2	14.2	1.99
Jeff Taylor	25	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-7	-3	15.0	17.8	-2.80	16.2	14.8	1.36
Jeff Adrien	19	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.18	-13	-4	-9	18.1	16.8	1.35	13.2	15.7	-2.47
Bismack Biyombo	56	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-15	13	17.0	17.1	-0.03	16.8	12.4	4.39
Ben Gordon	46	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-8	-1	16.6	17.5	-0.87	14.8	15.6	-0.89
Gerald Henderson	60	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-11	5	17.7	15.6	2.16	14.6	16.4	-1.77
Byron Mullens	32	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.14	-15	-2	-13	17.1	17.0	0.03	12.4	16.8	-4.39
Josh McRoberts	69	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-13	9	16.8	18.1	-1.35	15.7	13.2	2.47
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	45	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-8	-1	17.7	16.4	1.27	15.8	14.5	1.30
Kemba Walker	48	49	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.09	-20	3	-23	19.2	14.4	4.85	14.2	16.2	-1.99

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	57	55	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-1	19	14.6	16.0	-1.38	18.2	15.2	3.03
Courtney Lee	60	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-3	23	15.6	14.3	1.38	17.6	16.0	1.54
Paul Pierce	42	42	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	1	15	14.4	15.8	-1.41	18.6	15.6	2.96
Avery Bradley	44	44	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	0	17	15.2	15.1	0.08	19.2	14.9	4.27
Brandon Bass	57	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.11	17	0	17	15.3	15.0	0.26	18.1	15.2	2.92
Jason Terry	46	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	13	-9	15.1	15.2	-0.16	15.6	18.5	-2.86
DJ White	11	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	12	-7	12.4	15.5	-3.19	14.7	17.4	-2.65
Jordan Crawford	41	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	16	-15	14.8	15.4	-0.61	15.0	18.7	-3.63
Terrence Williams	22	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	20	-23	16.1	14.9	1.28	16.3	17.3	-0.94
Chris Wilcox	44	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	21	-25	16.0	14.4	1.66	15.5	18.5	-3.00
Shavlik Randolph	31	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.16	-6	23	-29	15.6	14.9	0.73	14.8	18.1	-3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
NYK 73, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SEA 92, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%