inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 96 Excitement4.7 [848] MVPJuwan Howard (WAS): +12.8%
Washington Wizards 110 Comeback1.2 [616] LVPBen Wallace (DET): -10.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Wallace0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.07-0.01-0.041370%0.132-0.03450%0.01
Dana Barros0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.01-0.051254%0.081-0.012100%0.00
Mikki Moore0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01367%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.042151%0.093-0.087100%0.03
Chucky Atkins0.000,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.020.01764%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Michael Curry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Eric Montross-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.011100%0.013-0.0600%0.00
Mateen Cleaves-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01644%-0.011-0.04667%-0.00
Jerome Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.04625%-0.061-0.00450%-0.01
Joe Smith-0.090,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01937%-0.071-0.01683%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.0230%-0.091-0.0120%-0.04

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juwan Howard0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.020.021671%0.151-0.031788%0.08
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.11-0.020.04-0.091154%0.143-0.032100%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.011170%0.103-0.07875%0.01
Michael Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0100.0000%0.00
Gerard King0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.02475%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.140.00-0.1360%-0.0110.0020%0.00
Obinna Ekezie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02662%-0.012-0.01978%-0.01
Calvin Booth0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02250%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Felipe Lopez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.041045%-0.011-0.05978%-0.01
Tyrone Nesby0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00550%0.003-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.435.515.629.21.831.0142.7
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +23.1%
WAS +25.4%
WAS +5.4%
DET -8.6%
WAS +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETWASNBADETWASNBA
this game13.715.415.598.0110.0100.9
season14.315.297.998.6
opponent15.215.4105.599.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.012.715.111.713.7
WAS13.813.913.222.015.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mikki Moore25280.06-0.560.610.031-151612.214.2-1.9419.014.05.06
John Wallace55550.05-0.550.59-0.229-233212.914.7-1.8117.512.94.59
Dana Barros48510.04-0.540.59-0.198-223012.614.7-2.0317.513.24.21
Jerome Williams6162-0.18-0.320.14-0.211-151612.815.1-2.2517.112.64.53
Chucky Atkins4343-0.22-0.280.060.19-140-1415.012.62.3913.217.0-3.78
Eric Montross2524-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.270-141413.613.7-0.0617.214.82.34
Mateen Cleaves4446-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.14-5-9413.014.2-1.2016.314.61.77
Ben Wallace4748-0.31-0.19-0.120.16-162-1814.612.91.6712.418.2-5.80
Joe Smith3738-0.32-0.18-0.140.12-151-1615.112.82.2512.617.1-4.53
Michael Curry4446-0.510.01-0.530.13-228-3014.612.91.6512.717.7-5.03
Jerry Stackhouse6159-0.550.05-0.59-0.05-173-2014.013.10.9214.616.5-1.86

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Whitney81820.56-0.060.620.0916-21815.813.81.9114.111.72.31
Juwan Howard71710.490.010.480.0515-11614.916.6-1.6814.212.31.97
Obinna Ekezie52500.350.150.200.03113816.614.12.5512.714.7-1.97
Michael Smith44420.310.190.130.1177017.613.63.9712.314.7-2.36
Tyrone Nesby50500.280.220.07-0.04113813.217.5-4.3015.112.22.93
Richard Hamilton62600.270.230.04-0.05113815.515.10.4213.414.1-0.69
Calvin Booth30310.250.250.01-0.131311210.717.4-6.6516.212.53.67
Felipe Lopez61580.150.35-0.200.21-216-1815.215.7-0.4513.314.3-1.00
Popeye Jones1010-0.010.51-0.520.14-519-2419.914.95.0111.214.0-2.77
Gerard King3936-0.160.66-0.830.04-721-2816.614.61.9712.314.5-2.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.77,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 97, BOS 1170.5,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
POR 84, HOU 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.9%
SAS 96, PHX 1160.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.9%