NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	4.8 [832]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (SAS): +19.8%
San Antonio Spurs	103		Comeback	1.2 [1147]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -16.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	57%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Walt Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Matt Bullard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	18	51%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	16	49%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05
Maurice Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	8	17%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.02	0.01	13	81%	0.20	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	18	45%	0.02	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	13	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	7	56%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	14	37%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.7	28.4	15.6	27.5	1.8	30.2	130.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +35.1%

SAS +10.3%

SAS +7.2%

SAS +2.6%

HOU -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	16.3	15.3	15.5	104.4	113.2	100.9
season	16.3	15.9		104.6	103.4
opponent	15.5	14.9		96.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.3	16.5	17.4	16.2	16.3
SAS	14.1	17.0	12.6	18.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Langhi	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.26	8	-16	24	15.1	16.6	-1.53	17.8	14.7	3.08
Moochie Norris	43	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-14	20	16.3	16.3	0.02	17.5	13.4	4.16
Shandon Anderson	37	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.20	4	-12	16	16.6	16.2	0.43	16.5	14.4	2.15
Matt Bullard	17	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-1	-6	18.5	15.9	2.62	13.4	15.8	-2.40
Hakeem Olajuwon	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-7	6	15.6	16.8	-1.16	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Kenny Thomas	57	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-7	6	16.4	16.3	0.07	16.3	13.6	2.72
Walt Williams	54	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-7	6	15.2	18.0	-2.84	14.7	16.1	-1.44
Cuttino Mobley	64	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	4	-16	16.9	15.1	1.80	14.9	16.2	-1.25
Maurice Taylor	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	8	-24	16.8	15.2	1.64	14.2	17.9	-3.62
Steve Francis	66	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.02	-20	12	-32	16.3	16.5	-0.19	14.2	18.0	-3.82

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	73	73	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.06	17	-9	26	14.4	18.9	-4.46	16.0	17.8	-1.79
Tim Duncan	78	78	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-2	12	14.7	18.8	-4.04	16.1	17.7	-1.58
Derek Anderson	77	78	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.11	12	-4	16	15.1	16.4	-1.24	15.7	20.0	-4.27
Malik Rose	51	50	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	7	-6	16.3	14.1	2.15	16.4	16.2	0.22
Sean Elliott	55	57	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	10	-12	14.7	16.2	-1.42	15.5	17.7	-2.18
Danny Ferry	23	22	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	-2	12	15.0	15.4	-0.35	18.7	15.6	3.09
David Robinson	53	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	3	2	15.2	15.4	-0.15	16.6	16.0	0.57
Terry Porter	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	13	-18	17.9	14.4	3.49	18.1	15.7	2.34
Steve Kerr	22	20	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	16	-24	17.9	14.5	3.37	17.7	15.9	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
PHX 103, BKN 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
GSW 89, PHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%