NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	89		Excitement	4.0 [990]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (PHI): +10.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	102		Comeback	1.1 [1245]		LVP	Chris Porter (GSW): -15.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	27	54%	0.03	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.13	-0.00	-0.12	9	42%	0.03	4	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	8	45%	-0.01	1	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	17	32%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	15	48%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Porter	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	12	36%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	10	91%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	26	57%	0.08	5	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	9	33%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	65%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	27.4	36.6	23.3	2.5	27.2	144.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +47.6%

PHI +9.9%

PHI +1.7%

GSW -7.5%

GSW -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHI	NBA	GSW	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.5	96.7	109.7	100.9
season	15.0	15.7		95.3	101.4
opponent	15.5	14.9		97.1	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.5	15.4	16.8	16.0	15.9
PHI	12.7	16.6	15.2	16.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	52	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-14	15	15.4	16.5	-1.08	15.5	14.9	0.62
Chris Porter	69	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-13	13	15.6	16.9	-1.28	15.9	13.3	2.61
Adam Keefe	27	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-8	3	16.6	15.6	0.96	15.3	15.2	0.05
Vonteego Cummings	63	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-6	-1	15.7	16.4	-0.73	15.2	15.2	0.02
Corie Blount	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-5	-3	15.6	16.6	-0.96	15.2	15.3	-0.05
Adonal Foyle	40	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	1	-15	16.5	15.4	1.08	14.9	15.5	-0.62
Mookie Blaylock	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	1	-15	15.9	15.9	-0.02	14.1	18.0	-3.91
Antawn Jamison	79	80	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.07	-18	5	-23	16.4	13.1	3.30	15.6	13.2	2.41

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	64	64	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.02	20	-7	27	15.0	15.6	-0.57	17.1	13.1	4.03
Allen Iverson	82	83	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	1	11	14.7	19.2	-4.49	16.0	14.7	1.38
Tyrone Hill	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-2	17	14.4	17.6	-3.19	15.8	16.3	-0.51
Eric Snow	69	68	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	9	-5	15.3	15.0	0.25	16.0	15.6	0.45
Dikembe Mutombo	55	53	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	2	9	14.5	16.2	-1.71	16.2	15.5	0.69
Kevin Ollie	26	25	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.09	9	4	5	15.1	15.3	-0.21	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Matt Geiger	32	33	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	10	-7	16.8	14.4	2.37	16.7	15.5	1.22
Rodney Buford	18	18	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	16	-19	18.9	14.3	4.61	13.8	16.4	-2.59
Jumaine Jones	42	40	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	17	-21	15.9	14.6	1.28	14.8	16.8	-2.01
Todd MacCulloch	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	16.0	15.2	0.82	10.0	16.3	-6.25
Pepe Sanchez	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	15.5	15.2	0.29	11.7	16.1	-4.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, POR 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAL 114, MEM 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.5%
MIN 109, SAC 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.88,0.79,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%