NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	87		Excitement	4.4 [909]		MVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): +12.7%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.5 [1089]		LVP	Ike Austin (VAN): -17.9%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	8	81%	0.13	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Grant Long	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	13	57%	-0.02	4	-0.07	11	100%	0.03
Stromile Swift	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	10%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Mike Bibby	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	14	53%	0.03	6	-0.14	6	100%	0.03
Ike Austin	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	7	0%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	13	65%	0.13	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	3	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	15	53%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	30.0	14.8	25.0	2.4	32.7	130.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +34.6%

VAN -4.2%

UTA +4.0%

UTA +24.6%

VAN -9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	UTA	NBA	VAN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	15.5	94.6	105.4	100.9
season	15.6	16.0		97.4	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		100.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.8	12.4	22.3	13.9	15.6
UTA	16.2	16.9	16.8	12.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	54	54	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.22	10	-21	31	13.4	18.7	-5.29	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Doug West	12	13	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-13	15	10.9	16.3	-5.42	17.7	15.1	2.54
Damon Jones	34	34	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.25	9	-20	29	13.5	16.9	-3.38	15.0	15.8	-0.84
Stromile Swift	36	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.15	4	-15	19	15.5	15.7	-0.26	16.6	14.9	1.71
Grant Long	53	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-10	9	13.3	18.7	-5.40	14.4	17.1	-2.66
Othella Harrington	30	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-1	-9	19.8	13.6	6.19	15.4	15.6	-0.23
Mike Bibby	80	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	-1	-9	16.0	13.1	2.93	15.3	17.3	-2.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.06	-15	4	-19	15.6	15.7	-0.03	15.7	15.0	0.73
Ike Austin	37	38	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.01	-19	8	-27	19.2	13.2	5.95	16.2	15.0	1.19
Michael Dickerson	55	53	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.15	-25	14	-39	17.2	13.3	3.95	15.7	15.3	0.36

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	61	61	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.11	26	-15	41	14.9	16.7	-1.85	16.7	13.6	3.04
Karl Malone	59	59	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.09	23	-12	35	14.8	16.8	-1.99	16.4	14.2	2.16
Bryon Russell	63	63	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	2	7	15.0	16.6	-1.67	17.2	12.3	4.85
Greg Ostertag	41	41	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	1	9	15.7	15.4	0.27	14.1	16.9	-2.81
Donyell Marshall	31	29	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	6	-1	14.5	16.0	-1.44	13.4	16.6	-3.19
Olden Polynice	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	10	-9	16.5	14.7	1.76	18.6	13.2	5.42
John Starks	56	57	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	9	-7	16.9	13.4	3.53	17.0	13.4	3.65
Danny Manning	45	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	7	-3	15.4	15.6	-0.20	13.8	17.2	-3.45
Quincy Lewis	13	12	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	7	-3	15.2	15.5	-0.32	12.4	16.1	-3.70
DeShawn Stevenson	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	12.8	15.7	-2.86	10.2	16.0	-5.84
David Benoit	17	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	22	-33	15.8	15.4	0.39	11.7	16.5	-4.81
Jacque Vaughn	32	31	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.29	-15	26	-41	16.7	14.9	1.85	13.6	16.7	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 73, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIL 76, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIN 85, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%