NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Excitement	4.5 [901]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +17.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	1.8 [974]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -16.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	17	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	8	61%	-0.01	1	-0.04	7	86%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	31%	-0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.03	0.03	21	41%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.07	-0.03	26	57%	0.20	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.08	0.05	-0.07	12	42%	0.07	3	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.01	0.06	14	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	18	53%	-0.04	3	-0.04	9	44%	-0.08
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	2	0%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	3.5	30.3	19.5	30.4	3.7	36.2	149.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.9%

MIN -15.1%

LAL +11.9%

LAL +15.6%

MIN -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.5	88.5	104.1	101.6
season	14.9	15.4		104.0	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.8		102.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.2	14.2	14.3	13.7	14.8
LAL	14.1	16.4	15.7	14.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	35	37	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.21	9	-25	34	14.2	15.2	-0.96	14.4	15.4	-1.01
Gary Trent	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	10.4	15.1	-4.65	12.4	15.2	-2.77
Mike Wilks	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	10.4	15.1	-4.65	12.4	15.2	-2.77
Kendall Gill	60	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-19	22	14.6	15.1	-0.43	14.8	15.4	-0.53
Joe Smith	23	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-14	12	13.6	15.2	-1.64	17.2	14.3	2.84
Rod Strickland	15	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-14	12	13.7	15.0	-1.28	18.9	14.3	4.60
Troy Hudson	80	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-4	-8	15.1	13.5	1.58	14.7	16.7	-2.03
Kevin Garnett	87	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	0	-16	15.0	12.7	2.37	15.0	15.0	0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	58	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	3	-22	15.1	14.3	0.78	15.4	14.5	0.82
Anthony Peeler	30	29	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.12	-21	5	-26	15.4	14.5	0.85	15.1	15.0	0.05
Wally Szczerbiak	82	82	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	0.06	-24	8	-32	15.4	11.6	3.71	14.5	17.9	-3.43

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	74	75	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.00	26	-10	36	15.2	14.3	0.90	15.8	11.3	4.51
Devean George	76	77	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.06	27	-11	38	15.4	13.5	1.92	15.4	12.3	3.18
Kobe Bryant	83	82	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-3	22	15.2	14.0	1.20	15.5	10.6	4.88
Shaquille O'Neal	81	80	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.04	9	7	2	15.1	14.8	0.26	14.6	16.0	-1.42
Samaki Walker	5	6	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	8	0	13.2	15.1	-1.93	20.0	14.5	5.53
Derek Fisher	76	74	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	14	-12	14.8	15.8	-0.99	14.7	15.2	-0.54
Slava Medvedenko	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	11.5	15.3	-3.85	10.9	15.1	-4.27
Kareem Rush	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	11.5	15.3	-3.85	10.9	15.1	-4.27
Jannero Pargo	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	11.2	15.3	-4.12	10.5	15.1	-4.60
Brian Shaw	42	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	18	-20	15.5	14.6	0.91	13.8	15.6	-1.87
Mark Madsen	26	24	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.14	-12	28	-40	15.7	14.8	0.96	12.4	15.6	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NOH 69, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
HOU 91, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%