inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 112 Excitement6.8 [448] MVPDana Barros (DET): +20.2%
Seattle SuperSonics 99 Comeback1.5 [192] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -11.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dana Barros0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.20.080.130.011165%0.2000.004100%0.04
Ben Wallace0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.050.090.01573%0.1300.00560%-0.04
Chucky Atkins0.050,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.001070%0.112-0.0600%0.00
Jud Buechler0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.00462%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Michael Curry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.00560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.020.00567%0.072-0.0620%-0.03
Joe Smith-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02542%0.002-0.05250%-0.01
Mateen Cleaves-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01325%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Eric Montross-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01337%-0.022-0.07250%-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse-0.110,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.040.032857%0.086-0.201694%0.05

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ruben Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.010.07-0.01760%0.121-0.021100%0.01
Emanual Davis0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.010.01750%0.0100.0000%0.00
Vin Baker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00860%0.041-0.034100%0.03
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.00360%0.001-0.034100%0.02
Shammond Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.02650%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.01550%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jelani McCoy0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.07-0.022255%0.033-0.09978%-0.01
Patrick Ewing0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.03-0.051036%-0.012-0.0620%-0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.021639%-0.051-0.04683%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game46.92.428.815.823.52.033.0152.4
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +50.3%
SEA -7.0%
DET +16.6%
SEA -12.0%
DET +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETSEANBADETSEANBA
this game14.614.415.5114.398.0100.9
season14.315.297.9103.8
opponent15.715.4103.599.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.714.015.813.814.6
SEA15.313.113.615.714.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mikki Moore26260.460.040.420.0514-11514.114.7-0.5916.013.92.11
Michael Curry49490.450.050.40-0.2223-103313.315.8-2.5715.513.32.16
Jerry Stackhouse88900.380.120.270.06112914.613.70.9514.414.6-0.27
Dana Barros42420.350.150.210.2158-313.815.1-1.2613.515.1-1.57
Ben Wallace66690.290.210.090.21310-714.913.91.0014.913.31.54
Chucky Atkins56590.280.220.05-0.05112914.814.20.6715.413.02.39
Joe Smith55570.260.240.03-0.091211113.116.4-3.2413.515.6-2.16
Jud Buechler34350.170.33-0.160.20-114-1516.013.82.2213.514.9-1.39
Eric Montross42440.130.37-0.250.0149-515.513.81.7414.414.40.02
Mateen Cleaves17180.040.46-0.420.10-215-1714.814.50.2614.214.4-0.28

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ruben Patterson50510.03-0.530.56-0.208-212913.015.7-2.7313.815.3-1.48
Brent Barry5957-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-151713.216.0-2.7915.313.61.70
Desmond Mason1817-0.07-0.430.350.04-4-9513.414.6-1.1613.314.8-1.52
Patrick Ewing6260-0.25-0.250.010.10-12-1-1114.014.9-0.9014.215.0-0.78
Vin Baker3938-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.22-1-121114.914.00.9015.014.20.78
Shammond Williams3837-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.04-8-5-314.814.20.6314.514.6-0.10
Emanual Davis3534-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.07-7-6-115.713.72.0214.514.6-0.12
Jelani McCoy4037-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.08-11-2-916.113.32.7815.613.91.68
Rashard Lewis8481-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.10-11-2-914.513.80.6914.514.6-0.12
Gary Payton8078-0.580.08-0.660.04-218-2914.613.60.9814.415.3-0.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.28,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 105, ORL 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,093.0%
SEA 103, PHX 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,093.0%
SAS 104, BOS 920.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.03,0,0,0,0,092.9%