NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	104		Excitement	5.4 [741]		MVP	Boris Diaw (SAS): +14.8%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	1.2 [847]		LVP	Jeff Green (BOS): -17.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	12	72%	0.21	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	13	59%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	15	66%	0.18	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	9	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Danny Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.05	12	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nando De Colo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.01	0.07	7	114%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	150%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.04	11	56%	0.00	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.05
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.19	-0.03	-0.04	17	28%	-0.06	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.6	23.4	16.4	25.5	2.3	30.6	123.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +36.7%

SAS +10.9%

BOS -7.0%

SAS +11.6%

BOS -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	BOS	NBA	SAS	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.1	113.0	102.2	105.2
season	15.0	15.4		109.8	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		106.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.2	15.5	15.3	17.5	15.9
BOS	16.1	13.8	18.2	15.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	64	65	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-6	24	16.0	15.6	0.36	16.9	12.9	3.97
Cory Joseph	70	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-3	18	15.9	15.8	0.05	16.4	13.9	2.52
Boris Diaw	61	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-6	24	14.9	17.8	-2.94	16.6	14.2	2.38
Marco Belinelli	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.08	17	-5	22	15.4	17.1	-1.68	16.8	12.7	4.10
Danny Green	59	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	-4	20	15.6	16.4	-0.83	15.4	16.5	-1.15
Shannon Brown	20	20	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	8	-4	18.2	15.2	2.99	16.5	15.6	0.98
Patty Mills	40	38	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	13	-14	15.4	16.2	-0.81	14.8	16.5	-1.64
Matt Bonner	36	33	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.19	-5	17	-22	17.1	15.1	2.01	14.4	16.6	-2.15
Jeff Ayres	23	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	19	-26	16.3	15.7	0.54	12.3	16.9	-4.57
Nando De Colo	20	18	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.24	-15	27	-42	16.8	15.6	1.20	12.1	16.7	-4.60

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	21	23	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.13	7	-19	26	12.3	16.9	-4.57	16.3	15.7	0.54
Joel Anthony	6	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-11	10	16.8	15.7	1.12	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Chris Johnson	27	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-16	20	14.2	16.5	-2.24	15.9	15.8	0.05
Jerryd Bayless	48	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-15	18	15.0	16.7	-1.78	16.7	15.0	1.64
Kris Humphries	43	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-18	24	14.7	16.8	-2.05	16.4	15.4	0.97
Kelly Olynyk	60	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-12	12	15.0	17.3	-2.32	15.4	16.8	-1.38
Brandon Bass	37	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-4	-4	16.1	15.6	0.50	17.5	14.6	2.92
Jared Sullinger	34	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.28	-21	9	-30	18.0	14.4	3.55	14.2	16.8	-2.62
Jeff Green	65	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	0	-12	16.2	14.8	1.31	15.5	16.8	-1.24
Gerald Wallace	53	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.05	-18	6	-24	16.9	14.2	2.76	15.1	17.0	-1.86
Rajon Rondo	56	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.06	-20	8	-28	17.1	13.7	3.39	16.1	15.4	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 116, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
WAS 100, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0	94.4%
BOS 104, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%