NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	4.8 [826]		MVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): +11.2%
Denver Nuggets	103		Comeback	1.0 [717]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -18.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.15	0.00	0.10	19	65%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.03	9	78%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Wolkowyski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
Desmond Mason	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jelani McCoy	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Patrick Ewing	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.21	-0.02	-0.04	25	28%	-0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	26	62%	0.17	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	21	49%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	7	33%	-0.06	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	23.2	15.6	25.0	1.8	28.5	119.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +10.4%

DEN +6.5%

DEN +16.3%

DEN +14.1%

DEN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DEN	NBA	SEA	DEN	NBA
this game	14.1	16.3	15.5	96.8	108.4	100.9
season	15.2	15.2		103.8	101.4
opponent	15.2	15.7		104.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.6	13.9	12.9	14.9	14.1
DEN	13.7	16.1	18.4	17.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Wolkowyski	7	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-11	11	9.9	14.4	-4.53	14.2	16.4	-2.20
Ruben Patterson	27	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-11	11	12.8	14.6	-1.78	14.2	17.0	-2.80
Shammond Williams	49	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-17	23	13.3	14.9	-1.63	16.9	15.6	1.36
Desmond Mason	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-5	-1	13.4	14.1	-0.78	12.5	16.8	-4.31
Patrick Ewing	40	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-2	-7	14.3	13.8	0.51	16.1	16.4	-0.35
Emanual Davis	54	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-8	5	14.4	13.6	0.78	17.4	14.7	2.71
Brent Barry	50	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	0	-11	14.2	13.8	0.40	15.3	17.2	-1.95
Rashard Lewis	70	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-1	-9	14.5	12.8	1.65	17.1	13.5	3.62
Gary Payton	93	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-2	-7	14.1	10.5	3.63	16.2	19.7	-3.51
Jelani McCoy	74	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	2	-15	14.5	12.5	2.02	16.5	15.5	0.99

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	56	55	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-7	25	16.5	15.9	0.62	14.8	13.0	1.82
Nick Van Exel	75	76	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	0	11	16.5	15.2	1.28	14.4	12.6	1.78
Antonio McDyess	82	83	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	1	9	16.4	15.6	0.75	14.2	12.9	1.30
Raef LaFrentz	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	5	1	16.8	15.2	1.55	14.8	12.5	2.28
Ryan Bowen	12	12	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	3	5	16.7	16.2	0.46	17.8	13.5	4.33
Keon Clark	41	40	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	8	-5	15.0	17.2	-2.27	13.2	14.7	-1.47
Voshon Lenard	65	65	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	11	-11	17.2	14.2	2.97	13.6	15.1	-1.48
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	20	19	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	8	-5	13.4	17.0	-3.63	12.6	14.4	-1.84
Robert Pack	16	16	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	12	-13	15.4	16.4	-1.07	11.9	14.5	-2.54
George McCloud	43	45	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	14	-17	15.9	16.6	-0.69	13.0	15.0	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.84,0.85,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,1	96.2%
NYK 91, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
HOU 97, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.81,0.74,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	95.0%