inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 91 Excitement2.0 [1237] MVPRon Harper (LAL): +6.3%
Los Angeles Lakers 111 Comeback1.0 [1242] LVPBob Sura (GSW): -9.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antawn Jamison0.020,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.000.042260%0.042-0.02333%-0.00
Chris Porter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.03650%0.001-0.004100%0.00
Chris Mullin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06480%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Adam Keefe-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marc Jackson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.001100%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Vinny Del Negro-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.09-0.00-0.07833%-0.002-0.022100%-0.00
Chris Mills-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.021336%-0.051-0.002100%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.021842%-0.023-0.052100%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.120.00-0.04920%-0.061-0.022100%0.01
Bob Sura-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.19-0.00-0.09828%-0.036-0.062100%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ron Harper0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.00-0.03575%0.071-0.0120%-0.00
Horace Grant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00856%0.0300.002100%0.01
Mike Penberthy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.000.07883%0.031-0.002100%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.05562%0.052-0.02333%-0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.011974%0.068-0.06475%-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.011158%0.011-0.00425%-0.02
Greg Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.070.00-0.07420%-0.0010.002100%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.07533%0.012-0.012100%0.00
Isaiah Rider0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.03462%0.033-0.0300%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.00-0.08450%-0.014-0.00250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.52.328.617.425.62.727.0126.1
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +44.5%
LAL +0.8%
GSW -1.1%
LAL +6.6%
GSW -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWLALNBAGSWLALNBA
this game15.213.215.590.1108.8100.9
season15.015.695.3106.8
opponent15.214.9101.8104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.117.813.714.515.2
LAL12.113.511.516.113.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adam Keefe1818-0.02-0.480.45-0.020-202014.115.4-1.3713.413.20.23
Chris Porter3433-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-151014.715.4-0.7613.613.00.61
Chris Mullin4444-0.18-0.320.150.06-8-12414.415.8-1.3212.114.0-1.94
Bob Sura5254-0.20-0.300.11-0.02-6-14816.713.53.2414.012.31.75
Marc Jackson2020-0.21-0.290.090.12-11-9-214.615.3-0.6611.413.6-2.23
Adonal Foyle4040-0.24-0.260.020.20-15-5-1015.015.3-0.2111.914.0-2.17
Erick Dampier5354-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.11-5-151015.215.10.1414.112.21.94
Antawn Jamison7172-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-11215.614.11.5313.712.01.69
Vinny Del Negro4948-0.30-0.20-0.110.11-14-6-813.516.7-3.2412.314.0-1.75
Chris Mills5758-0.32-0.18-0.150.03-12-8-415.814.41.3214.012.11.94
Larry Hughes6769-0.38-0.12-0.260.06-15-5-1015.414.70.7613.013.6-0.61

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal68690.470.030.44-0.2926-63212.115.3-3.1515.115.3-0.24
Kobe Bryant66670.420.080.34-0.2824-42812.314.8-2.4915.015.5-0.49
Ron Harper48480.300.200.11-0.221821612.114.2-2.1415.015.3-0.34
Rick Fox47460.300.200.10-0.08137612.114.1-1.9415.215.10.11
Horace Grant47460.300.200.10-0.08137612.114.1-1.9415.215.10.11
Isaiah Rider30290.190.31-0.12-0.07911-213.813.00.8116.214.71.49
Robert Horry38380.190.31-0.13-0.16128413.613.00.5715.515.00.47
Mike Penberthy48490.110.39-0.270.11020-2013.712.80.8914.316.0-1.69
Brian Shaw37350.090.41-0.330.20-424-2815.112.13.0415.714.90.78
Devean George30290.080.42-0.330.08020-2014.912.52.3715.615.00.52
Greg Foster34320.030.47-0.440.21-626-3215.312.13.1515.315.10.24
Mark Madsen17170.010.49-0.480.16-525-3015.312.82.5214.415.3-0.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 89, ORL 1270.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
NOH 86, MIN 1150.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
TOR 105, DEN 1370.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%