NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	71		Excitement	4.7 [860]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +4.2%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	1.1 [1143]		LVP	Chris Mullin (GSW): -17.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Porter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	16	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Adam Keefe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	12	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	13	55%	-0.01	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	18	36%	-0.13	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.06
Chris Mullin	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	8	12%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	9	74%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavor Postell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	8	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	13	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	2	70%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	21	48%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	28.1	16.4	25.3	1.8	26.3	122.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.1%

NYK +15.7%

GSW -11.6%

GSW -0.0%

GSW -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	17.1	16.4	15.5	82.6	102.3	100.9
season	15.0	16.4		95.3	99.2
opponent	16.1	14.9		96.6	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.0	17.1	17.6	16.6	17.1
NYK	16.4	14.2	17.6	17.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Porter	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-13	9	10.5	17.6	-7.06	17.0	16.4	0.63
Vinny Del Negro	15	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.16	-12	-5	-7	16.5	17.2	-0.73	12.8	17.3	-4.55
Adonal Foyle	22	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-11	5	18.0	16.7	1.25	15.5	16.7	-1.22
Chris Mullin	23	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-8	-1	18.2	16.7	1.57	16.0	16.6	-0.58
Chris Mills	65	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-8	-1	16.7	18.2	-1.48	16.8	15.4	1.36
Larry Hughes	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-11	5	17.0	17.4	-0.40	16.8	15.1	1.72
Adam Keefe	35	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	0	-17	17.9	16.5	1.38	15.9	16.7	-0.79
Mookie Blaylock	67	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-12	7	17.2	16.5	0.77	16.4	16.5	-0.08
Antawn Jamison	66	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-8	-1	16.9	17.7	-0.89	16.9	14.9	2.07
Erick Dampier	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-9	1	17.1	16.9	0.27	16.8	15.3	1.58

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	70	70	0.73	-0.23	0.95	-0.01	25	-8	33	16.6	15.4	1.21	17.5	15.0	2.54
Larry Johnson	69	70	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	5	7	17.5	12.1	5.36	17.3	16.1	1.16
Charlie Ward	42	43	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	4	9	16.6	16.2	0.39	17.5	16.7	0.84
Kurt Thomas	60	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	0	17	15.5	18.5	-2.98	17.5	16.2	1.31
Felton Spencer	38	38	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	14	-11	16.8	16.1	0.71	17.1	17.1	-0.03
Glen Rice	53	53	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	10	-3	16.0	17.2	-1.19	16.4	18.2	-1.76
Chris Childs	44	43	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	13	-9	16.2	16.6	-0.39	16.7	17.5	-0.84
Allan Houston	46	47	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	19	-21	16.7	16.0	0.69	17.5	16.6	0.88
Lavor Postell	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	13	-9	14.3	16.5	-2.16	9.0	17.3	-8.26
Travis Knight	5	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	15	-13	9.6	16.8	-7.24	7.5	17.5	-10.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NOH 76, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CLE 87, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%