NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Excitement	4.5 [899]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +17.9%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	1.1 [1148]		LVP	Devin Brown (CLE): -14.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	82%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Billy Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.01	0.08	14	67%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	43%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
LeBron James	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	0.03	24	41%	-0.06	3	-0.06	15	73%	-0.01
Devin Brown	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.01	10	85%	0.23	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	5	87%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	69%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	14	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	9	38%	0.01	3	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.04	14	37%	0.00	6	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	30.8	15.7	28.6	2.5	32.6	138.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +52.4%

BOS +3.1%

CLE -12.0%

BOS +2.6%

BOS +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	16.3	14.3	15.4	91.6	98.9	105.7
season	16.4	15.6		104.0	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.2		98.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.6	17.1	16.4	14.2	16.3
BOS	13.1	14.9	14.1	15.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	31	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-11	17	13.4	17.7	-4.30	15.8	13.6	2.21
Billy Thomas	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-10	15	4.0	16.4	-12.41	11.5	14.4	-2.90
Dwayne Jones	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-10	15	4.0	16.4	-12.41	11.5	14.4	-2.90
Damon Jones	28	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-3	1	16.0	16.4	-0.40	15.5	13.8	1.72
Wally Szczerbiak	63	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-5	5	15.3	18.3	-3.01	15.2	12.7	2.58
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	54	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	3	-11	17.4	14.9	2.52	13.7	15.2	-1.48
Delonte West	74	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.44	6	-11	17	15.7	18.3	-2.57	13.9	15.7	-1.78
Devin Brown	43	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	6	-17	17.7	15.1	2.58	13.0	15.5	-2.57
Anderson Varejao	54	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.43	4	-9	13	15.8	16.9	-1.09	14.9	13.6	1.35
Ben Wallace	50	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	12	-29	17.7	14.8	2.90	13.6	15.2	-1.59
LeBron James	76	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	8	-21	17.1	12.8	4.30	14.4	14.1	0.35

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	76	77	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	1	3	14.1	15.6	-1.54	16.3	16.3	-0.06
Ray Allen	73	75	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.30	3	2	1	14.2	14.6	-0.40	15.9	17.8	-1.98
Rajon Rondo	67	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	6	-7	14.2	14.6	-0.34	16.2	16.6	-0.43
Kevin Garnett	64	67	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	0	5	14.0	15.1	-1.17	16.4	16.0	0.45
Leon Powe	27	26	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	4	-3	15.1	14.0	1.15	16.0	16.4	-0.39
Glen Davis	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	6	-7	15.4	13.3	2.05	15.3	17.2	-1.90
Kendrick Perkins	49	51	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	0	5	13.4	15.4	-2.00	17.1	15.3	1.84
James Posey	37	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	2	1	15.1	13.8	1.24	17.1	15.7	1.41
Eddie House	26	29	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	-1	7	14.6	14.2	0.34	16.6	16.2	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 103, WAS 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAS 81, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CHI 95, OKC 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%